TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf927…2663

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.59
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.56
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Iryna Shymanovich vs Donna Vekicbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy Paulbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.79
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Moise Kouame vs Ugo Humbertbacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.08
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.47
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+157%+$151.2
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$80.9
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
Split: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Andrej Nedicbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dubrovnik: Polona Hercog vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Polona Hercog · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Split: Maxim Mrva vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Split: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Alexander Vasilevbacked Alexander Vasilev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$96.56
Bucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguezbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Alicante: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Alicante: Jan Choinski vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+109%+$80.72
Alicante: Pedro Martinez vs Remy Bertolabacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Yokkaichi: James McCabe vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+166.8%+$166.76
Yokkaichi: Yasutaka Uchiyama vs Dan Addedbacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Morelia: James Duckworth vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Sao Paulo: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Monteirobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.62
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,828Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,828.13
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,495Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,755.07
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,866Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$3,906.92
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,377.93
SHL: Froelunda HC vs. Luleaabacked Luleaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$68.3
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
All 5 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olimpia Milano vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+302.2%+$302.2
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 4 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lithuania win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.