TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sao Paulo: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Monteiro

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tomas Barriosof Tomas Barrios, Thiago Monteiro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,028 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Thiago Monteiro50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Thiago Monteiro25c12,760$3,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.2411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa67d…6f7cbacked Thiago Monteiro0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thiago Monteiro48c6,570$3,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,180.681,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cda…2de5backed Tomas Barrios50c5,899$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.666157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Tomas Barrios50c4,659$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,335.821,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Tomas Barrios71c4,175$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.912,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f5…c8cebacked Tomas Barrios52c3,859$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Tomas Barrios63c3,812$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.0145343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Tomas Barrios62c3,425$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.8611053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Tomas Barrios50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5004,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Tomas Barrios63c2,889$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.342,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Tomas Barrios50c2,864$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4327635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa08…d98abacked Tomas Barrios76c2,788$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.5324962.2%155 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Thiago Monteiro24c2,737$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.891,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Thiago Monteiro52c2,533$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.96331.7%20 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Tomas Barrios53c1,908$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.2455646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Tomas Barrios50c1,714$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8573948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ac…fed6backed Tomas Barrios56c1,368$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.18143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6990…df88backed Thiago Monteiro73c1,345$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Thiago Monteiro51c1,292$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.012,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Thiago Monteiro3c1,248$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3173648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Thiago Monteiro19c1,208$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7437153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thiago Monteiro51c1,197$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.328,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Thiago Monteiro32c1,159$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.676,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Tomas Barrios50c1,135$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.538343.4%36 W · 47 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x569e…4a85backed Tomas Barrios55c1,129$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.198058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Tomas Barrios55c1,045$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.278855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Tomas Barrios48c1,010$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.2730744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Thiago Monteiro45c1,008$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.8127836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Thiago Monteiro50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Tomas Barrios50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50097141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Tomas Barrios38c905.18$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.0447252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e8…5169backed Tomas Barrios56c891.47$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.641822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Thiago Monteiro44c871.17$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.144,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Thiago Monteiro47c814.15$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.761,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Thiago Monteiro23c800$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Thiago Monteiro33c734$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9430844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Thiago Monteiro38c716.08$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.674,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Thiago Monteiro71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Thiago Monteiro56c688.66$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.054,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Thiago Monteiro44c664.63$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.445250%26 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Tomas Barrios57c605.26$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2625544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Thiago Monteiro4c597.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7824460.7%148 W · 96 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Tomas Barrios44c502.46$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.6328552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Thiago Monteiro45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.71,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Tomas Barrios75c485.96$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7921767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Thiago Monteiro46c434.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.91553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Tomas Barrios56c424$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Thiago Monteiro42c417$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.147,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Tomas Barrios48c416.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.771,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Tomas Barrios49c408.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.371,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b8…632abacked Tomas Barrios48c405.52$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8714344.1%63 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f91…c7dabacked Tomas Barrios50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Thiago Monteiro50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Tomas Barrios50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20033055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1be0…8892backed Tomas Barrios56c397.95$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.261163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Thiago Monteiro46c397.5$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8520043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x201f…a96bbacked Tomas Barrios57c389.02$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.483661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Thiago Monteiro54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Thiago Monteiro51c360.6$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.919247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Thiago Monteiro58c357.33$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2335436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Tomas Barrios48c346.39$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3996035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Tomas Barrios56c344.71$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6741544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Thiago Monteiro49c319.09$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.412,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x319b…d4d5backed Tomas Barrios71c315.24$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.76144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Tomas Barrios50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Tomas Barrios50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Tomas Barrios50c300$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.53855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tomas Barrios49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1533,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…6af2backed Tomas Barrios57c299.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12912835.2%45 W · 83 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Thiago Monteiro33c288.16$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1465346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tomas Barrios56c286.52$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.246,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Thiago Monteiro52c280.19$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5541658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Tomas Barrios34c268.51$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.911,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Tomas Barrios56c268.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0460641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Tomas Barrios56c267.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.852,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Thiago Monteiro45c245.72$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5296755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ae…224cbacked Thiago Monteiro28c240.18$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.24153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf927…2663backed Thiago Monteiro46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Tomas Barrios74c208.71$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.711,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tomas Barrios39c208.68$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.047,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Thiago Monteiro48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028541.1%117 W · 168 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Thiago Monteiro46c206.8$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.132846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Thiago Monteiro42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8459954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b8…cbb6backed Thiago Monteiro43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Tomas Barrios50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14be…2de0backed Thiago Monteiro52c184.62$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Tomas Barrios56c178.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2257349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Thiago Monteiro43c174.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514639%57 W · 89 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Tomas Barrios50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8034154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Tomas Barrios55c156.86$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.466,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c0…62fabacked Tomas Barrios64c156.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.567142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Tomas Barrios55c155.6$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.311,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Thiago Monteiro27c155$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2851445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Thiago Monteiro48c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.251,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Tomas Barrios50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7569253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Thiago Monteiro48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722030%6 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-41.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Thiago Monteiro48c149.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727146.5%33 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Tomas Barrios56c148.21$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2150364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.