TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
James Duckworthof James Duckworth, Beibit Zhukayev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$321,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$333,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed James Duckworth71c26,856$19,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,838.068,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Beibit Zhukayev28c23,625$6,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,681.956,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Beibit Zhukayev29c21,334$6,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,226.6911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x246b…fb5bbacked James Duckworth71c18,700$13,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.884362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Beibit Zhukayev24c17,104$4,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1797,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Beibit Zhukayev20c17,009$3,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3472,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed James Duckworth68c13,818$9,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,358.4337741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed James Duckworth50c9,991$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,995.318151.9%42 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+133.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Beibit Zhukayev47c9,120$4,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,267.032,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Beibit Zhukayev32c7,043$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.954,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13bb…a36cbacked James Duckworth70c7,026$4,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.9411857.6%68 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed James Duckworth60c6,508$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.579855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed James Duckworth72c5,210$3,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.6533556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Beibit Zhukayev29c4,674$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.4111053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Beibit Zhukayev31c4,477$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.835,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Beibit Zhukayev28c4,458$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.512,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Beibit Zhukayev24c4,253$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.038,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed James Duckworth65c4,148$2,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.263,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked James Duckworth66c3,965$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.7292352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked James Duckworth64c3,175$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.8227247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked James Duckworth64c2,971$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.3245737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed James Duckworth80c2,687$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.644,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Beibit Zhukayev23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010342.7%44 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked James Duckworth63c1,982$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72936944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Beibit Zhukayev22c1,897$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4426545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed James Duckworth64c1,886$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.9940548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Beibit Zhukayev16c1,787$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4541658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x896d…cd2cbacked James Duckworth59c1,690$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.917357.8%100 W · 73 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Beibit Zhukayev29c1,529$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.965952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked James Duckworth67c1,388$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.0352557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed James Duckworth70c1,380$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.41,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed James Duckworth71c1,300$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.56,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Beibit Zhukayev30c1,284$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.2531656.3%178 W · 138 L+19.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed James Duckworth80c1,267$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.912,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x803f…b6b3backed Beibit Zhukayev35c1,105$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.354119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Beibit Zhukayev20c1,056$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20656744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Beibit Zhukayev23c1,005$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1529649.7%147 W · 149 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Beibit Zhukayev24c992.01$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.083666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Beibit Zhukayev19c970.44$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.081,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Beibit Zhukayev25c955$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.751,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf77…bae9backed Beibit Zhukayev5c942.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1519443.3%84 W · 110 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x874f…a13dbacked Beibit Zhukayev36c885.35$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.544520%9 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Beibit Zhukayev35c882.24$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.021,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Beibit Zhukayev21c826.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.511,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Beibit Zhukayev25c818.16$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1818459.8%110 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Beibit Zhukayev14c744.55$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2457052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Beibit Zhukayev19c737$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.037,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed James Duckworth70c701.5$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.51,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed James Duckworth62c687.11$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.762,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf927…2663backed Beibit Zhukayev28c684.25$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.593447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed James Duckworth66c675$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.254,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed James Duckworth62c634.32$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.241,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Beibit Zhukayev32c631.87$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.221451.4%110 W · 104 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed James Duckworth69c627.13$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6573549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc84f…c9ecbacked Beibit Zhukayev32c596.16$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.054456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Beibit Zhukayev21c572.85$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6329533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf625…9d5dbacked Beibit Zhukayev3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Beibit Zhukayev19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958951.7%46 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Beibit Zhukayev33c499.9$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.079,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked James Duckworth64c485$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.754,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Beibit Zhukayev41c475.47$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.871,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed James Duckworth69c460.55$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7768350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked James Duckworth70c433.43$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.371,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Beibit Zhukayev31c429.52$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1950156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Beibit Zhukayev24c428.24$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.781,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Beibit Zhukayev31c418.97$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.046,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed James Duckworth75c418.29$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5797745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Beibit Zhukayev48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7684963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Beibit Zhukayev36c400.67$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2427936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Beibit Zhukayev5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027931.9%89 W · 190 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked James Duckworth68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12812055.8%67 W · 53 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed James Duckworth67c399.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13030844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Beibit Zhukayev18c380.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.852339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed James Duckworth70c371.43$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.581,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Beibit Zhukayev34c340.91$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7635436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked James Duckworth64c332$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0379052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Beibit Zhukayev27c317.11$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.771,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed James Duckworth76c315.78$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7941668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed James Duckworth68c305.78$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.851,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Beibit Zhukayev38c300.22$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.767635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef9c…5a32backed James Duckworth71c290.63$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.063956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Beibit Zhukayev24c289.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6739039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Beibit Zhukayev34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0460641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Beibit Zhukayev29c268.81$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5848453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed James Duckworth52c267.7$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4938739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f56…9df8backed Beibit Zhukayev19c257.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.721711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-64.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0cc…275cbacked Beibit Zhukayev38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.287732.5%25 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Beibit Zhukayev8c250$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7548235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed James Duckworth72c242.44$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.284,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…62dcbacked James Duckworth60c242.37$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.959947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab90…a576backed James Duckworth79c241.58$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.73850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed James Duckworth57c240$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.238955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Beibit Zhukayev27c237.44$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2643558.6%255 W · 180 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed James Duckworth58c233.95$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2617958.1%104 W · 75 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed James Duckworth68c232.3$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2784968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Beibit Zhukayev8c220$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.624632.9%81 W · 165 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a84…e21abacked Beibit Zhukayev6c216.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.869529.5%28 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked James Duckworth61c216.29$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4527749.8%138 W · 139 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0d…ca21backed Beibit Zhukayev34c209.58$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.887948.1%38 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed James Duckworth65c199.71$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.983844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.