TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Alicante: Jan Choinski vs Roman Safiullin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Roman Safiullinof Jan Choinski, Roman Safiullin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,152 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x246b…fb5bbacked Roman Safiullin79c19,738$15,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,164.384362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jan Choinski21c13,208$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,728.22,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jan Choinski34c4,620$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.3911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Jan Choinski28c2,515$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Jan Choinski3c2,443$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2510857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jan Choinski16c2,217$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.458,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cdd…6261backed Roman Safiullin43c1,995$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.341136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Jan Choinski31c1,907$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Jan Choinski60c1,657$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.4330744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Jan Choinski65c1,542$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3855646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf3…fdf3backed Roman Safiullin74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Roman Safiullin53c1,168$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.969,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Roman Safiullin43c1,162$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.4629637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Roman Safiullin65c1,153$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.567,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Roman Safiullin42c1,124$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.021,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jan Choinski7c914.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.621,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Roman Safiullin43c899.97$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.983,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Jan Choinski21c869$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1134744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Jan Choinski19c850$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jan Choinski47c830.64$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.846,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Jan Choinski56c669.2$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.2219241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…da8dbacked Roman Safiullin79c664.84$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.861776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Roman Safiullin65c624.01$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.924350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Jan Choinski33c529.5$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1766850%34 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Jan Choinski58c519.98$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.596942%29 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbe…4d6abacked Jan Choinski36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Jan Choinski59c479.84$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2828659.3%51 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Roman Safiullin57c475.29$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.291,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da3…5a49backed Roman Safiullin63c472.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.483461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Roman Safiullin73c469.98$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.930857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Jan Choinski37c439.98$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.149450%47 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Jan Choinski20c421.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0310317.5%18 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f08…57bcbacked Jan Choinski59c397.51$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.012070%14 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x161c…f204backed Roman Safiullin79c394.71$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.271580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Roman Safiullin69c389.64$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.471,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Roman Safiullin78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6237071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Roman Safiullin76c350.28$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.074,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Jan Choinski57c345$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.659247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jan Choinski34c331.43$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.324,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Jan Choinski26c313.7$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Jan Choinski43c297.23$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12750364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b5…4425backed Roman Safiullin51c259.51$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.514548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Jan Choinski40c258$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10311046.4%51 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Jan Choinski59c255.67$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5572542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf927…2663backed Roman Safiullin43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.563447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Jan Choinski61c227.07$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5164065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Roman Safiullin71c219.96$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.352,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Roman Safiullin44c211$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3155660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jan Choinski24c208.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.666,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4e…c266backed Roman Safiullin74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Jan Choinski44c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b8…cbb6backed Jan Choinski57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x014c…39e7backed Jan Choinski26c191.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Jan Choinski60c183.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.017146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Jan Choinski55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Roman Safiullin42c177.4$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.41,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Roman Safiullin76c175.71$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1721767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Jan Choinski57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Jan Choinski58c172.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Jan Choinski58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Roman Safiullin61c169.09$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.251,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jan Choinski23c166.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.454,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x444a…00bebacked Roman Safiullin43c163.37$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.378831.8%28 W · 60 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Jan Choinski48c163.21$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.312,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Jan Choinski51c149.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.345848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Roman Safiullin49c141.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4715248.7%74 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Roman Safiullin45c138.34$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.451,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Jan Choinski57c131.69$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0697141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Jan Choinski62c130.45$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8821257.5%122 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a3…f319backed Jan Choinski37c124.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.396240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Jan Choinski27c114.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.471,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Jan Choinski18c113.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.862254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Jan Choinski57c111.72$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6826254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Jan Choinski51c104.23$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0712152.1%63 W · 58 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…f3d4backed Roman Safiullin73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Roman Safiullin63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3746556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc78…a301backed Roman Safiullin40c99.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Jan Choinski50c94.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1415354.2%83 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Roman Safiullin42c93.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.511,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Roman Safiullin67c90.92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8895846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Jan Choinski22c90.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Jan Choinski32c90.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1934950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jan Choinski42c88.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.163,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Jan Choinski58c88.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2742358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39bf…1e66backed Jan Choinski58c85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6657…8e4fbacked Roman Safiullin75c80.84$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.324259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe214…7febbacked Jan Choinski31c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.412444.4%55 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Jan Choinski15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.792,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Jan Choinski39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061755.9%345 W · 272 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Roman Safiullin53c75.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.512,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Jan Choinski58c74$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9230349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc874…54a3backed Roman Safiullin64c73.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.782382.6%19 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Roman Safiullin39c73.71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7128835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Roman Safiullin44c67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5296844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Roman Safiullin43c65.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4457252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73d0…fa43backed Jan Choinski20c60.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210832.4%35 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Roman Safiullin43c59.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7928764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde48…accbbacked Jan Choinski56c55.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.327254.2%39 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Roman Safiullin45c55.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5566452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Jan Choinski57c54.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.171,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.