TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73d0…fa43

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10832.4%35 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Lulu Sunbacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.6
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Bucharest Open, Qualification: George Loffhagen vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$94
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Sao Paulo: Jaime Faria vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.86
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Anastasia Tikhonovabacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Jazmin Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$48.49
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$20.7
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Carolyn Ansaribacked Carolyn Ansari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$335
Split: Tom Gentzsch vs Filippo Romanobacked Filippo Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Naples: Vitaliy Sachko vs Federico Cinabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.79
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.79
Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Jaime Fariabacked Felipe Meligeni Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.28
Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Alicante: Jan Choinski vs Roman Safiullinbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Naples: Matteo Martineau vs Michele Ribecaibacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Naples: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondiolibacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+150.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+235.1%+$71.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$13.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+27.6%+$8.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.