Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74f16784755b7d7e27835e3aa5273245d2b05ca42767725d1fa1b37b0830f63a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,700 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,057$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.1 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 58c | 988.63$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 59c | 840$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed No | 42c | 729.72$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 57c | 596.5$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.42 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 43c | 586.38$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.29 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Yes | 58c | 517.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked No | 43c | 446.37$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 43c | 373.77$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 57c | 358.03$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.15 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 57c | 347.87$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 61c | 264.64$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 58c | 238.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 44c | 225.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 39c | 185.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked No | 42c | 136.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 58c | 69.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 43c | 69.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 41c | 64.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…d812backed Yes | 55c | 63.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked No | 43c | 60.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 43c | 60.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed No | 44c | 39.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked No | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 43c | 37.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc136…39b4backed Yes | 58c | 37.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 42c | 34.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 41c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 43c | 32.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…fa43backed Yes | 55c | 31.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked No | 45c | 26.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 44c | 25.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…f151backed Yes | 59c | 23.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed No | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…0d9abacked Yes | 60c | 18.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 55c | 18.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 leading at halftime?this page
- Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.