Music · resolved market
Will Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9e46be02239a30f80f3f8e21c877510369af7824c419f5daaba366f24cd6504
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 33c | 2,550$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.68 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 67c | 1,560$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 62c | 862.25$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8d…cf1bbacked Yes | 30c | 829.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1c…afa8backed No | 19c | 533.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed No | 74c | 480.74$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…7ebdbacked Yes | 39c | 435.61$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 38c | 390.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…8f1fbacked Yes | 31c | 355.59$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 29c | 262.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes | 43c | 231.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3949…6f28backed No | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…f23dbacked Yes | 32c | 185.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…1b40backed Yes | 31c | 161.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 34c | 155.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…16e1backed Yes | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad47…96e8backed Yes | 42c | 137.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c58…72e6backed Yes | 36c | 137.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…e0c1backed Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc549…97b7backed No | 74c | 126.58$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…f594backed Yes | 30c | 115.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…b075backed Yes | 42c | 113.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 34c | 106.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…fa43backed Yes | 30c | 102.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…71fdbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…f4fcbacked Yes | 40c | 99.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…b3f2backed Yes | 47c | 98.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc24…728fbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3e…b648backed No | 70c | 77.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 63c | 76.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 32c | 73.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…6d71backed Yes | 42c | 71.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…d914backed Yes | 31c | 64.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2e…ef05backed No | 69c | 59.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…2dbebacked Yes | 42c | 56.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…aa1bbacked Yes | 35c | 56.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5a…18dfbacked Yes | 38c | 54.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…1caebacked Yes | 45c | 53.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1a…95babacked Yes | 35c | 51.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 62c | 51.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…5044backed Yes | 28c | 50.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…c918backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…7bc0backed Yes | 45c | 49.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 36c | 46.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 26c | 45.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…0231backed Yes | 45c | 44.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 37c | 40.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe791…3baabacked Yes | 42c | 40.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…91cfbacked Yes | 39c | 38.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d9…2eb2backed Yes | 43c | 38.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 63c | 37.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked Yes | 53c | 37.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…b866backed Yes | 44c | 34.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 43c | 32.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…3610backed Yes | 77c | 31.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 39c | 30.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd911…93eabacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac8…e766backed Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa8…a398backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?this page
- Will Arisa win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Chiello win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Ditonellapiaga win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Ermal Meta win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Levante win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Luchè win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Malika Ayane win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Michele Bravi win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Nayt win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Sayf win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Serena Brancale win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Tommaso Paradiso win Sanremo 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.