Music · resolved market
Will Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fd00f07c2d03e8dd012ab2032628cc07817990450477a785025ae9b734f415c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 32c | 5,234$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.66 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 61c | 1,619$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 30c | 895.06$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.39 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 71c | 760.85$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.39 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 63c | 658$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 37c | 658$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 75c | 625$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6c…a901backed Yes | 33c | 610.58$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked Yes | 15c | 567$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 76c | 543.44$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…cd5cbacked Yes | 37c | 482$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 63c | 482$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…94aebacked Yes | 22c | 453.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed Yes | 25c | 446$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…921bbacked No | 68c | 442.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3afebacked Yes | 27c | 436.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…81c0backed Yes | 17c | 416$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b18…25e9backed Yes | 27c | 407.46$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Yes | 17c | 354$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 11c | 326.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8d…cf1bbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 62c | 304.56$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed Yes | 11c | 270$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bd…1906backed Yes | 41c | 241.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed Yes | 17c | 225$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 11c | 223.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 64c | 212.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…f23dbacked Yes | 32c | 211.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba84…b857backed Yes | 22c | 203.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Yes | 32c | 198.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…d6ebbacked Yes | 24c | 195.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed Yes | 16c | 190.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…cc44backed Yes | 31c | 190.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 70c | 179.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…71aabacked No | 65c | 179.19$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4a70backed Yes | 25c | 179$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1c…afa8backed Yes | 30c | 167.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…9fa5backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…16e1backed Yes | 28c | 142.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b4…d7fdbacked Yes | 24c | 140.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…d6e7backed Yes | 29c | 139.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 62c | 130.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce46…9057backed Yes | 42c | 119.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a29…423abacked No | 59c | 118.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba5…f080backed No | 76c | 111.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 19c | 110.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…509abacked No | 64c | 108.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 66c | 108.07$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…1caebacked Yes | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0663…3c2bbacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…bf08backed No | 67c | 99.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 26c | 99.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…f594backed Yes | 26c | 89.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 83.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb403…5c40backed Yes | 19c | 80.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 20c | 80.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…69ffbacked Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 67.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2e…ef05backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 42c | 57.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…2dbebacked No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc549…97b7backed Yes | 29c | 52.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…71e1backed No | 79c | 50.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…bf8cbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2e…e479backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 26c | 44.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…fba2backed No | 75c | 39.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 57c | 39.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…0fc5backed Yes | 28c | 37.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 29c | 36.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 75c | 32.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 77c | 26.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…55a9backed No | 78c | 23.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…c516backed No | 77c | 17.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc24…728fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?this page
- Will Arisa win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Chiello win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Ditonellapiaga win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Ermal Meta win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Levante win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Luchè win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Malika Ayane win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Michele Bravi win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Nayt win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?Yes won
- Will Sayf win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Serena Brancale win Sanremo 2026?No won
- Will Tommaso Paradiso win Sanremo 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.