TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Kings, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,743,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,895,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,743,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Kings14c130,586$18,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,28216841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Kings13c122,562$15,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,533.4254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kings3c94,527$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.51,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings2c54,513$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.583,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kings4c46,107$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.451,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Kings14c31,297$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300.2441832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Kings7c31,234$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.411417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Kings11c30,100$3,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,306.4846928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Kings5c28,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.981520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-62.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Kings13c25,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Kings0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Kings12c20,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings12c20,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Kings13c18,721$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.7272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings12c18,680$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Kings2c15,000$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6927917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Kings12c14,055$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.5726842.9%115 W · 153 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Kings2c13,872$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.921,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Kings11c12,500$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4194940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings10c12,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.9747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings18c10,301$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.941,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Kings12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Kings11c9,001$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.0965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings11c9,000$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.9786641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kings12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Kings12c8,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Kings11c7,000$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Kings19c6,888$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2769330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Kings11c6,800$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7485032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings12c6,609$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.172,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Kings8c6,495$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.7236023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Kings4c6,004$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.029220.7%19 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Kings15c5,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9517028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Hawks79c5,300$4,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10217962%111 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Kings15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75018045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e4f…8414backed Kings12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings12c4,764$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.6972450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Kings12c4,424$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.0125226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Kings12c4,300$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50314446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed Kings12c4,300$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.85119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Kings5c4,275$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.234136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked Kings7c4,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28012957.4%74 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Kings15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd1…be0fbacked Kings12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a68…7b56backed Hawks76c3,961$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.248055%44 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings1c3,750$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.18820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Kings8c3,600$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29121137.9%80 W · 131 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Kings12c3,565$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.222948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e5e…5778backed Kings5c3,538$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.891717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdb…f0fdbacked Kings11c3,300$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3631450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6871…5befbacked Kings12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4c…16f8backed Kings11c2,789$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-46.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Kings23c2,596$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.9638540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings2c2,547$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.031,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Kings12c2,500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30553939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e5…03fdbacked Kings1c2,419$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.14277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-89.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…d246backed Kings11c2,417$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c2b…ec52backed Hawks76c2,400$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5712466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67d5…c6c9backed Hawks77c2,398$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.132560%15 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Kings1c2,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61690%0 W · 169 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Kings10c2,200$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.381,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a7…3845backed Kings12c2,166$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.911118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-69.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a9…7876backed Kings6c2,162$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.086043.3%26 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Kings10c2,112$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2461336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings12c2,042$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Kings23c2,018$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46330840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings5c2,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Kings11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb5…ea73backed Hawks75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66e…0795backed Kings12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kings1c1,999$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1964517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Kings24c1,976$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.3946940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e79…54d2backed Kings14c1,948$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.771915.8%3 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kings14c1,917$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.321,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Kings11c1,909$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9768944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Kings6c1,889$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Kings12c1,874$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8424247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20f6…0f69backed Hawks73c1,850$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.569347.3%44 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Hawks74c1,737$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.1515643.6%68 W · 88 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Kings24c1,696$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.6111342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Kings23c1,687$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5411040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Kings12c1,596$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings12c1,589$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.413,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c90…c394backed Kings6c1,563$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005724.6%14 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Kings13c1,503$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.55745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf723…ab82backed Kings10c1,499$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.941020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Kings12c1,492$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17912240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a9d…d1e1backed Kings15c1,472$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.81442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f1…5b0fbacked Kings5c1,470$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.684067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Kings19c1,455$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5513043.8%57 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Kings11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017532%56 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…9afabacked Kings21c1,340$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.997313.7%10 W · 63 L-11.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-61.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kings17c1,291$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.462,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Kings6c1,261$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9142335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Kings16c1,244$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kings7c1,229$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.951,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Kings5c1,174$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.938740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Kings22c1,150$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Kings7c1,143$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801258%10 W · 115 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings12c1,130$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.466,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.