NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcf57d0ce16588a30f2028cf16c96ff1e9269d0bc570651acc0bf0a84cd36dbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Over | 0c | 6,281$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 13c | 1,237$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.29 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Under | 55c | 897.16$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.2 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…31ebbacked Under | 54c | 518.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.52 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 518.52$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 45c | 444.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 45c | 351.65$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…1a04backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 43c | 347.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 344.74$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 283.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Under | 57c | 265.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 209.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 18c | 141.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 75c | 132.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x647c…a772backed Over | 48c | 109.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 44c | 108.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 44c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 45c | 79.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Under | 76c | 78.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 76.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 43c | 70.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 57c | 65.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 52c | 65.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 25c | 53.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…f0fabacked Over | 22c | 50.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 48c | 48.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 47.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 45c | 42.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 48c | 42.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 43c | 35.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 54c | 31.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 47c | 30.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c5…787cbacked Over | 48c | 30.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…51acbacked Under | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…5453backed Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Under | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Under | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kings vs. HawksHawks won
- Kings vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Kings vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hawks (-14.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hawks (-15.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hawks (-16.5)Kings won
- Spread: Hawks (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.