TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Hawks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Kings51c29,572$15,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,490.2972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Kings53c22,963$12,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,708.451,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings53c12,113$6,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,714.252,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks46c9,033$4,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,195.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings54c8,733$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,032.511,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Hawks49c8,308$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,07134854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Hawks49c8,300$4,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,06749246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks47c6,173$2,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,885.234,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c9…ebf2backed Hawks49c5,514$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f70…42e4backed Hawks49c5,510$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Kings51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45032540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Kings51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9687750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Hawks46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks46c4,289$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.184,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Hawks43c3,847$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65420948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks50c3,772$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.154,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kings57c3,750$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.561,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Hawks49c3,673$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks47c3,624$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.924,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Hawks49c3,289$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.64535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Kings53c3,189$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.8229055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37a7…8ea2backed Hawks47c2,949$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c2…4ad2backed Hawks47c2,849$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks46c2,488$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Hawks46c2,418$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.2811243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Hawks48c2,301$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.4825049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Hawks48c2,270$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Kings56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Hawks46c1,980$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.7831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Hawks46c1,924$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88517344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings51c1,810$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.752,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7029…4331backed Hawks49c1,804$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.242454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kings54c1,700$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.181,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Kings53c1,627$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.7749244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Kings50c1,627$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.2726638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kings54c1,597$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.6464944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Kings53c1,594$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.389159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings54c1,403$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.561,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Hawks46c1,317$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60632450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Kings50c1,127$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.6857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Hawks43c1,091$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.165446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hawks47c1,086$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.252,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Hawks46c1,041$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4795635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Hawks49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Kings53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Hawks46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46021139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Kings53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Kings53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Hawks45c982.73$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.2326544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Hawks49c965$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.8519745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6900…b6c2backed Kings54c926.96$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Hawks46c808.78$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.0424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Hawks48c665.81$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.9845151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace8…4624backed Hawks47c632.89$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.462133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Hawks49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hawks47c559.24$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.841,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Hawks47c476$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7240146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Kings54c450$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3980653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Kings51c440.16$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6824247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84a6…4f84backed Kings54c371.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.513243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Hawks47c355.01$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8717643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Hawks45c343.51$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Hawks46c332.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.147436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Hawks49c305$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Hawks27c257.97$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.671,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hawks46c251.97$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.891,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks50c240.41$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.873,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Kings55c236.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.361154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Hawks50c224$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11213748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Hawks46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Hawks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Kings50c196.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.288763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f1…927ebacked Kings54c184.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.532646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kings54c180.19$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.451,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Kings54c177.5$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.321,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387b…fd56backed Kings52c176.79$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.776145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Kings53c174.3$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.241449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8742…5e43backed Kings52c172.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.731844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Kings53c172.1$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2413349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Hawks48c164.04$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Hawks47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.229352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Hawks50c151.51$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.519045.6%41 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Hawks47c144.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6787744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks47c135.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.282,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Kings54c127.4$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.231,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Hawks47c125$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7514844.6%66 W · 82 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Kings52c123.12$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1248152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Kings52c117.8$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0113541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf1…5776backed Hawks44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503450%17 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c74…be40backed Kings54c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Hawks46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Hawks54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5415240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Hawks46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Hawks46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Hawks46c93.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1616948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Hawks45c91.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4144747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked Hawks43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f51…1670backed Hawks64c78.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501711.8%2 W · 15 L-6.1wins-0.36per pick48cpaid-81.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks46c77.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.493,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Hawks48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3621349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.