TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,230 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbedb…3b26backed Under54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.9616346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c8,309$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,071.41,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over47c5,890$2,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,748.311335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Under51c5,704$2,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,795.199952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd5b…6c7cbacked Over49c5,626$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc09d…7d7ebacked Over49c5,417$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b06…5158backed Under51c4,668$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2f…e2edbacked Under51c4,467$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07d0…89c1backed Over49c4,369$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c4,240$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.936,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc039…51e2backed Under51c3,748$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under54c3,690$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.2227747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8234…2bc2backed Under51c3,176$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf43c…27edbacked Over49c3,168$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c3,100$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.222,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…1bbdbacked Under51c3,096$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5123…e53dbacked Over49c2,889$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc6c…a021backed Under51c2,768$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over48c2,687$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over46c2,526$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16215141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4f…25d0backed Under51c2,476$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under54c2,438$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.6917554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c2,296$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.624,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ae…a0c1backed Over49c2,173$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over35c1,616$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.332,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Over46c1,335$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.222065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c1,142$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.324,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over30c1,075$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32052230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c1,037$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over46c978.26$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under68c867.36$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.912,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under54c790.44$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.6938947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under55c785.7$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.53,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x15bc…afb2backed Over49c757$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under52c673.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.5231354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2427746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c529.96$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over43c516.26$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9927241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Under50c430$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2159346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c424.09$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.52,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over14c366.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6726337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over45c332.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under56c323$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.141,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under62c303.91$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6526638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over46c261$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0619348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under61c229.35$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.71,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under59c210.11$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.953,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over46c197.11$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6778648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…9121backed Over50c195.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a85…7267backed Over49c194$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under53c191$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7734247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84a6…4f84backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf1…5776backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823450%17 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under74c181$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7935…fa59backed Over48c171$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under59c169.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8113541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under55c166$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.71,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over46c158.24$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over46c154.34$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7117643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a85…c9afbacked Over49c147$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under53c146.34$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.111,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over35c142.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8218052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under48c139$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6df…7efebacked Over49c139$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under51c137.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1310748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under63c121.08$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under60c117.81$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6513349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6524849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under62c117.17$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.381,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over46c115.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5344747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under51c114$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8611543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under61c103.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.841,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…817dbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4640541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc631…59a6backed Under66c97.86$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…eb4fbacked Under51c95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over42c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4611040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfad4…379bbacked Under48c83.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9210347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under68c81.35$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.231,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e11…644abacked Under63c78.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.11457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x215b…9ca2backed Under51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.22875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under55c74.86$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.691,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…194bbacked Under51c73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.77944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under42c73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.795,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under69c72.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1333258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…6321backed Over48c66.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.153844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over28c64.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2960049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Under46c63.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.354146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4536…c33fbacked Under51c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over51c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1123651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cad…eee9backed Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+67.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.233030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.421242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325c…5074backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under50c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2345544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.