TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Hawks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,226,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,234,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,226,143 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Kings50c722,557$362,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359,662.372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Hawks50c543,772$271,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,885.9987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe934…640bbacked Hawks49c200,000$98,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,999.923860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Kings52c189,766$98,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,198.3154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Kings51c171,492$87,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,031.2432653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Hawks48c124,412$59,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,717.7644352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hawks49c102,041$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8293…ddf4backed Hawks49c55,000$26,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,949.981942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Kings52c24,406$12,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,714.8911543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Hawks49c20,196$9,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,896.0440350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Kings51c16,830$8,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,246.341,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks49c15,822$7,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,686.024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Hawks49c13,936$6,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7786746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Kings51c12,000$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,88058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Hawks48c11,262$5,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4067248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Kings52c10,198$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,898.0310252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Hawks48c9,550$4,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5845341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcef…a339backed Hawks48c9,301$4,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,464.642152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hawks48c9,062$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,35048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Hawks48c7,729$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7105036%18 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings54c6,144$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.082,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45b0…4857backed Hawks50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Hawks48c5,510$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.831644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Hawks48c5,387$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.343129%9 W · 22 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kings51c4,902$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.951,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Kings51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bec…4569backed Hawks48c3,845$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Hawks48c3,761$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.6414940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kings51c3,729$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Hawks60c3,667$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.6143269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Hawks48c3,560$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.598148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks49c3,506$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,717.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Hawks50c3,193$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.255754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks46c3,151$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.824,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2901…99f3backed Hawks48c3,012$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Hawks60c2,798$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.751,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks49c2,652$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.392,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Kings51c2,520$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.821653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Hawks50c2,482$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24124847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks40c2,038$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.183,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks23c1,821$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.313,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings50c1,751$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.442,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hawks49c1,567$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.192,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hawks51c1,552$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.952,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Kings66c1,509$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.9614556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Kings51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73558740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Kings51c1,298$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.0942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…1422backed Kings77c1,144$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.042867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Kings51c1,021$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.2918345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Kings51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Kings41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59012945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Hawks38c948.02$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.1826638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kings50c804.37$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.21,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks51c745.62$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.963,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Hawks48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35028448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Hawks33c718.11$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4715240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Hawks48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Hawks49c612$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.881,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Hawks50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Hawks50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Kings55c591.87$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.264358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Kings53c500.37$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.425660.7%34 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Kings51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2458951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62bd…52b6backed Hawks59c486.24$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.159848%47 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks40c476.76$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.231,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb409…03e9backed Hawks49c443.8$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.463345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Hawks60c421$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.627357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Hawks49c416$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Hawks48c367.33$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17726745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Hawks50c364$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18218241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x32f0…965dbacked Hawks49c362.82$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hawks41c354.49$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.811,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Hawks49c306.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Hawks43c280.01$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.833730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Hawks48c270.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Kings79c252.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3211471.9%82 W · 32 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Hawks52c240$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.862347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Hawks50c229.82$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9126043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks49c222.53$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.63,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks41c218.28$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.615,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Hawks30c218$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hawks31c217.06$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.321,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Hawks48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8742…5e43backed Kings51c208.25$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.241844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab88…3761backed Hawks49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Hawks49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Hawks49c201.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7419650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Hawks50c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9938464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Kings77c199.64$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Kings51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0825049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Kings52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3113345.9%61 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Hawks22c186.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1345542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Kings51c180.83$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.631,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Kings56c177.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.614540%18 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Kings69c172.97$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9717047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Hawks37c166.75$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.21,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Kings59c165$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.191,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa583…2928backed Hawks49c162.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.842737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Kings37c159.67$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.