TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Hawks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$480,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$480,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Hawks47c166,282$78,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,152.7187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Kings53c163,859$86,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,094.2572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Kings52c97,738$50,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,914.0532653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks48c34,000$16,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,199.971,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings52c33,986$17,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,413.721,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Hawks49c32,765$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Kings51c32,692$16,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,019.0943148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8293…ddf4backed Hawks46c30,062$13,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,827.941942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Kings49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,200.0749244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Hawks49c18,831$9,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,164.5337747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Hawks48c16,828$8,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,077.5618749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Kings50c15,935$7,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,967.5912639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Hawks50c13,162$6,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5815341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks48c13,087$6,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,279.512,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings53c11,334$6,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,307.781,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Hawks48c10,361$4,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,993.4917550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings48c8,482$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,410.641,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Hawks49c6,898$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,38021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks48c6,390$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,087.334,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a7…ffc3backed Hawks48c5,833$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Hawks52c5,824$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.249952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks49c5,712$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,778.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hawks50c5,603$2,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Hawks48c5,531$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.875349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Hawks49c5,265$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.95754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Kings53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.941,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Hawks51c4,752$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.57850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Hawks51c4,605$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.5525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings52c4,257$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings55c4,064$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.862,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings51c3,934$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kings54c3,750$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Kings54c3,480$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.864651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Hawks51c3,430$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.7169149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Hawks51c3,080$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.911,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Kings53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Hawks48c2,850$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Hawks49c2,812$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37834854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Hawks54c2,376$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28319359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Hawks54c2,371$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29014455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb842…ff11backed Hawks47c2,310$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings53c2,304$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.474,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kings50c1,999$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.7464944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Hawks51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Hawks52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.967236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kings50c1,736$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.131,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Hawks48c1,489$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.6510651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5bb…495cbacked Hawks48c1,458$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Hawks50c1,310$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6551861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hawks42c1,294$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.462,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Kings54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50626553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Hawks49c1,096$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5374535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Hawks51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Kings48c1,060$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.6195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Kings53c1,047$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.9222948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hawks48c1,021$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Hawks48c968.15$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.7122945.9%105 W · 124 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Hawks48c966.67$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46419745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks47c827.12$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.755,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Kings54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36867252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd48…d64fbacked Hawks52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Hawks48c724.96$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.6215240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks52c718.7$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.074,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Hawks46c517$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.8256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hawks47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Kings54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2308951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e7…814cbacked Hawks50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Hawks50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Kings54c496.08$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.292058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Kings53c433.54$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Kings48c430$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.69346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Hawks52c423.25$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Hawks53c404$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1245151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Kings51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1965440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Hawks39c389.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15057444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Hawks53c380$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.420846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Hawks48c376$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hawks48c372.85$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.221,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Hawks47c339.72$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16033251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Hawks49c310$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.962347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Kings54c257.09$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Hawks52c227.88$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.513748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Kings54c220.05$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Hawks47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Hawks47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab88…3761backed Hawks47c212.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Hawks49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Kings49c202.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0433748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50a7…ebc0backed Hawks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Kings56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8861957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Kings46c199.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4953339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Kings51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb846…eb61backed Hawks54c186.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002560%15 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb409…03e9backed Hawks49c186.14$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.813345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4505…303abacked Kings49c184$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Hawks50c169.91$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6487744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Hawks46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks57c160.01$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.