TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,544 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes32c851.65$276 inLost-$275.763,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes2c640.43$12 inLost-$12.41236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No66c640.34$424 inWon+$216.2439265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d46…c046backed Yes33c430.94$141 inLost-$1411526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Yes9c200$18 inLost-$1811538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Yes9c200$18 inLost-$184146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No69c149.98$104 inWon+$45.965762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe86d…ada3backed No67c120.62$80 inWon+$40.3815362.1%95 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No67c110$74 inWon+$36.327074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No64c74.4$48 inWon+$26.8265630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5023…a00fbacked Yes37c60$22 inLost-$22.185444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7861…3d27backed Yes34c35$12 inLost-$11.97930.4%24 W · 55 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No70c20$14 inWon+$626957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.