TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-16.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Hawks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x033d…fd1ebacked Kings62c180,802$112,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,880.7510252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks48c66,902$31,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,930.464,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Hawks27c50,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,50019954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Kings49c29,000$14,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,789.9843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hawks37c24,619$9,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,147.12,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Hawks50c22,392$11,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,258.7548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks38c16,599$6,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,278.642,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Kings66c8,872$5,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,053.695660.7%34 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks38c6,787$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks40c5,928$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.553,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Kings63c5,680$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.6742348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Hawks28c3,595$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.1726337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks37c3,390$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.331,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hawks41c3,339$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3661,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings56c2,165$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.736,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings55c2,127$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Kings54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks38c1,961$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.963,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Hawks31c1,732$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.941,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Hawks48c1,657$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.362,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks47c1,589$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.493,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Hawks41c1,433$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.236949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hawks43c1,433$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.422,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Hawks44c1,352$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.8820051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Hawks28c1,204$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.4320049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Hawks38c1,028$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.8942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Hawks38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38052230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7c8…44f7backed Kings55c908.6$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.61553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Hawks42c833$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.841,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Kings63c803$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7326638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa97…b225backed Hawks42c799.97$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.991060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Hawks36c735.57$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.97233.3%24 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Hawks47c662.68$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.464942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hawks41c597.53$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.361,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hawks31c554.93$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.91,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Hawks48c552.08$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26528838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks44c550$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x513d…c44cbacked Hawks45c445$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.251735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings59c439.88$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Hawks48c414.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks45c400.8$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.823,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hawks21c342.22$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.582,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Hawks23c329.45$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3162047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Kings62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5876250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Hawks37c302.7$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Hawks34c299.47$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6613349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Hawks38c284.23$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.925356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Kings53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0259140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hawks38c274$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.122,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Hawks51c252.65$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3667248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Hawks31c248.13$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7713541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Hawks38c245.85$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3710456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f1…927ebacked Hawks42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Hawks42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Hawks34c231.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.511,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Hawks42c213.19$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5419650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb402…42cebacked Hawks51c213.15$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.674639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Kings49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0833837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Hawks46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Kings57c176.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1217944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84a6…4f84backed Kings57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Hawks41c172.9$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8791846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…c13fbacked Kings65c165.77$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.731060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Hawks43c165$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Hawks43c165$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9545646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Hawks37c160.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5687744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Hawks51c156.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6121748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Hawks32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Hawks40c148.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8339055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hawks31c130.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.21,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Kings59c127.47$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1910457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51bb…f542backed Kings52c123.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.821450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Kings63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9277549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Hawks40c114.56$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.831,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Hawks38c113.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1223048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Hawks46c110.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hawks47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Hawks58c104.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Hawks45c103.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.811,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Hawks50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Hawks32c95.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6410042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Hawks42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Hawks46c93.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Hawks38c92.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Kings56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2938152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Kings57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7261056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Kings56c86.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8122552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Hawks46c85.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4444551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe270…a8f9backed Kings55c85.68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Hawks40c81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.741,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Kings49c80.51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0613346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Hawks40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3222942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Hawks46c79.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3816046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f51…1670backed Hawks51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401711.8%2 W · 15 L-6.1wins-0.36per pick48cpaid-81.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Hawks36c77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6811040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b0b…94d1backed Kings56c76.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.913823.7%9 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed Hawks41c74.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.661346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Hawks42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0721349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Hawks35c69.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.466734.3%23 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks44c68.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.225,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.