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NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,818 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c3,790$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over56c1,787$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.6160444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,588$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.733,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over52c1,388$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.2435749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Over50c1,016$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.566746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over50c1,008$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.9721943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over53c900$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42315952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under47c891.83$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.1687453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c878.92$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.954,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under52c720.15$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.4815952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50065872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c609.65$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.748,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Over51c529.39$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.42568%17 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under41c525.39$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4152230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26042845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c470.7$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.82,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over41c453.59$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under8c450$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over34c397$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2226638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c383.93$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.691,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under51c372.09$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7716242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c340.05$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.992,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under9c246.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3245544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over47c212.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4217047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over45c203.54$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.883,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9621653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+73.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over50c192$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over40c186.27$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c185.44$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.955,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b01…75dfbacked Over55c178.83$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.831435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under54c158$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3237848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c150.15$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under51c149.42$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.532,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under42c146.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over51c137.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.838432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under50c126.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5162047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4baf…23edbacked Over51c110.93$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd23e…746bbacked Over51c106.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.342650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5069337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over50c97.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7455347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf89f…32b0backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.155042%21 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under58c91.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.971,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over51c87$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6324044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over50c85.94$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9718459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over52c83.42$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4211343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over50c80.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.099646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76b8…7367backed Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.434854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4723657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under42c62.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4314438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Under54c61.27$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.927316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over51c58.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8159255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Over51c58.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.812050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Over51c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4411058.2%64 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under57c51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0710042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over40c49.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7615351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under60c49.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3814264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Under57c47.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under49c41.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb3…803abacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205062%31 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bc4…07e7backed Over36c39.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.314742.6%20 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Over54c33.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3321651.4%111 W · 105 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over47c30.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.983,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f2…dd5abacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under52c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3426450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84a9…dbc4backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4110444.2%46 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c27.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ceb…a1e0backed Over48c26.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under46c25.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb7…d873backed Over51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2512245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Under57c23.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.36734.3%23 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under44c23.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.164,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc2…9aa3backed Over51c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.093151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa363…4812backed Over51c21.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.