TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb6e…48e6backed Under52c81,475$42,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,422.972661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under52c47,715$24,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,903.3127747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over48c27,626$13,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,260.4829351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Over48c11,081$5,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3197451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over48c5,833$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over48c5,760$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Over48c5,208$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over48c4,945$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.6318749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c4,911$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over48c3,958$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c3,591$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7726…4627backed Over48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x651e…a02bbacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over48c2,946$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over48c2,476$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.517550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Over48c2,476$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.55349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over48c2,080$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.428554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over31c2,054$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.012,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Over48c1,952$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9377245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Over48c1,675$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8045745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Over50c1,384$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.8111235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over48c1,375$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66024847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d7…9173backed Over51c1,292$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.9240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3703…1accbacked Over51c1,288$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf4…13d3backed Over51c1,280$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e0…1ae8backed Over51c1,274$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aea…3ce2backed Over51c1,252$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c1,220$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.213,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ac9…a51abacked Over51c1,212$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c1,144$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e8…0a34backed Over51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,044$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.5350754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7172…bdbbbacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48019958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c972.13$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.621,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2172…3d4abacked Over51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c880.83$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under47c640.94$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.752230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over48c574.27$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.1838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over26c515.74$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7426638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2408951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under52c454.98$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3956843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20820846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over51c383.97$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8262347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbb…1b13backed Over58c368.64$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over48c363.25$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3640146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over48c345.5$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over48c324.41$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over48c312$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over48c306.25$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1476250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over48c292$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1619348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…6b1fbacked Over51c280$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under52c275.07$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1217643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over48c270.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over48c270.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13014156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c265.97$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.41,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf1…5776backed Under55c217.6$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.563450%17 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c208$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.921,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over51c199.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9921653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under41c194.48$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0214438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8225550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9014444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over52c175.76$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6210748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over49c151.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7467248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over47c149.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4622453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc631…59a6backed Under67c149.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c147.42$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.475,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c146$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Under42c146$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.244146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under53c143.7$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5437665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over47c135.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2323651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c129$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.921,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014844.6%66 W · 82 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under36c111.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over48c108.95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.321347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over49c108.29$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over47c107.88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.755347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under51c104.39$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.741,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over48c104.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0627646.7%129 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Over30c89.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c88.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.343,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over48c87.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4238853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f2…2c56backed Under53c87.06$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.923366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e76…95cdbacked Under72c82.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.563145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over36c76.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.441,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over48c73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0462049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under67c69.31$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.763,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over48c68.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0221653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under46c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6411538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under49c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.