TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc8c5…787c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT4938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tomas Etcheverry vs. Grigor Dimitrov: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$55.47
Set 1 Winner: Etcheverry vs Dimitrovbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Sebastian Baez vs. Stan Wawrinka: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.38
Set 1 Winner: Baez vs Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marton Fucsovics vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.11
Set 1 Winner: Fucsovics vs Tabilobacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.69
Barletta: Felix Gill vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.17
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.17
Mariano Navone vs. Botic van de Zandschulp: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56.38
Barletta: Kimmer Coppejans vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.23
Kimmer Coppejans vs. Vitaliy Sachko: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53.45
Copa Colsanitas: Panna Udvardy vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$48.98
Panna Udvardy vs. Katarzyna Kawa: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.55
Udvardy vs. Kawa: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.03
Etcheverry vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53.45
San Luis Potosi: Facundo Mena vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Set 1 Winner: Udvardy vs Kawabacked Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.53
Set 1 Winner: Etcheverry vs Paulbacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.03
Sebastian Baez vs. Titouan Droguet: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$12.84
Madison Keys vs. Anna Bondar: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.73
Luca Van Assche vs. Tallon Griekspoor: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.63
Peyton Stearns vs. McCartney Kessler: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Nerman Fatic vs. Federico Bondioli: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$15.56
Kopp vs. Quilez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
Copa Colsanitas: Julia Riera vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 16?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$9.05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 10?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$12.35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 9?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 8?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$4.67
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 7?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 25?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 23?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.9
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$7.57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.12
Canadiens vs. Predators: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25.8%+$8.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.