Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd35ae9adc871125d0131167a772488519e98d35d44f277a49c57d7ab1a1660c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof REKONIX, Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed REKONIX | 62c | 4,618$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.23 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 2c | 3,807$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 39c | 2,137$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.78 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 23c | 2,000$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 3c | 1,963$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 47c | 480.8$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 37c | 364.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 62c | 354.3$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 33c | 309.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 24c | 236.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed REKONIX | 80c | 232$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 40c | 214.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked REKONIX | 72c | 172.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 46c | 153.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed REKONIX | 67c | 138.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed REKONIX | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked REKONIX | 55c | 77.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 28c | 72.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ebb4backed Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 27c | 70.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 54c | 65.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…649fbacked REKONIX | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed REKONIX | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c5…787cbacked REKONIX | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked REKONIX | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a3…5d89backed REKONIX | 62c | 21.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed REKONIX | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked REKONIX | 69c | 15.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.