NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x929180b490a50ff06b1708dba18bc8d31401f7490b01e55b7f600bd6ee2e50cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 56c | 106,972$60,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,623.7 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 44c | 60,624$26,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,517.34 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Over | 43c | 59,084$25,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,676.76 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 23,000$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,119.98 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 15,000$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Under | 56c | 13,348$7,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.97 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 5,780$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.21 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…2f25backed Under | 55c | 4,752$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 55c | 2,555$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.74 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 55c | 1,984$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.8 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 45c | 1,739$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.55 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 1,404$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.03 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 1,322$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.73 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 43c | 1,228$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.07 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Under | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 42c | 958.44$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.21 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 55c | 955$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.75 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 55c | 950.18$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.58 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Under | 55c | 669$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 60c | 655.83$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.51 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 539.41$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.63 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 55c | 458.57$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 436.69$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 42c | 356.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 55c | 249.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 226$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed Over | 46c | 219.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Under | 58c | 213.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 202.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 43c | 150.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 57c | 144.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Over | 45c | 130.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Under | 58c | 123.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 58c | 122.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…564dbacked Under | 57c | 115.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 57c | 110.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 57c | 107.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 43c | 83.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 70.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 62c | 67.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Under | 58c | 61.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…7155backed Under | 56c | 58.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | -18.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under | 56c | 48.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7050…958ebacked Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…5bd4backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…9b8dbacked Under | 57c | 43.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +64%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe455…fdb3backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…9812backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 42c | 33.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 55c | 29.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 27.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 55c | 25.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e6…ca32backed Under | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 55c | 22.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c5…787cbacked Under | 55c | 22.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21e…2a11backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5this page
- Panthers vs. RangersRangers won
- Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.