TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Over55c185,742$102,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,871.5516442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Under45c100,000$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,999.9967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Over57c54,000$30,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,739.9448545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under43c42,387$18,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,160.7940351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under44c21,123$9,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,828.7151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under44c21,116$9,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,824.9636748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under45c20,000$8,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,1001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under44c15,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c11,270$4,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,351.381,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over56c10,124$5,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,647.2741842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,85026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over54c6,604$3,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,566.141,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under45c5,598$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.134551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under46c5,435$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.7833450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c2,223$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.121,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Under44c2,093$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.092161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under43c1,991$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.8879350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under44c1,785$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.4350251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Under44c1,628$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.91728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over51c1,323$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.8842254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under45c1,202$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.531,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f26…8984backed Over11c1,198$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.621233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under44c1,161$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.363647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c1,003$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.3559450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c795$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Under44c779.36$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.4413252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over4c717.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.97838.5%30 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c659.07$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.092,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under44c583$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.4831848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under44c574.71$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.810049%49 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a35…5e52backed Over57c521.96$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under49c518$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.4392049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Under45c423.87$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.132045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under44c317.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6866552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under46c282.61$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6115257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under46c282.61$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.616851.5%35 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under44c254.2$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.028845.5%40 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under44c241.28$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1213549.6%67 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under43c238$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6153849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Over57c236.24$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1342365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Over57c205.09$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.911154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under59c201.01$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.723,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003375.8%25 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+47.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under44c180$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.815349%75 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under64c165$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.041,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Under46c163.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.045646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb48e…d489backed Over58c146.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under43c145$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6510346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under44c121.61$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.113253%70 W · 62 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7171…81f7backed Under46c116.65$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9927652.2%144 W · 132 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over56c112.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.114450%22 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Under46c108.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.487055.7%39 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd59a…ac62backed Over57c102.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.535244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c102$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1286049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9936852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over56c99.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2292444.5%411 W · 513 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0256553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Over57c87.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over55c86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.386852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under45c83.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1313758.4%80 W · 57 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under45c81$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5515245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…7379backed Under44c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under45c79.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1910860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4533…e6bbbacked Under45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.782352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Under46c71.56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.646253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2b…258abacked Under44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.184100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6717227.3%47 W · 125 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3db3…8b52backed Over33c64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.833476.5%26 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+28.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under46c59.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9712748.8%62 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…8ca1backed Under46c58.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4914152.5%74 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb05e…9b8dbacked Under46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3515547.1%73 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7050…958ebacked Under46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3511147.7%53 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f5e…5bd4backed Under46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3514747.6%70 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under44c50.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2127049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.516746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed Under80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf17e…c12ebacked Under45c48.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52c6…564dbacked Under46c47.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.834141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4213…6940backed Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Over57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256271%44 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de8…0a3bbacked Under46c43.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.493650%18 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over55c43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6512152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Under44c42.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6517343.4%75 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0e8…7042backed Over48c41.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202548%12 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under45c41.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9445651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Under50c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.54833.3%16 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under62c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.441,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under46c37.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.529647.9%46 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4954…ac42backed Under45c36.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.136058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over57c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5222255.9%124 W · 98 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaab…aeacbacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick68cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4458…d13bbacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x142d…bf73backed Under44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.096066.7%40 W · 20 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Under46c32.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.66150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacff…3872backed Over56c30.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176346%29 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.