NHL · resolved market
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadfecf17185a6dca9ead51458aa6874a761a96ab5ef5eac74ccfd8fb3ad0b02e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rangers | 38c | 1,707$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.21 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Panthers | 62c | 1,073$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.25 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Panthers | 62c | 939.99$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.79 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Rangers | 38c | 747.61$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.52 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rangers | 40c | 659$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.4 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Panthers | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rangers | 38c | 385$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.7 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Panthers | 64c | 280$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Rangers | 37c | 262.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.54 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Panthers | 62c | 249.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.82 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rangers | 35c | 237.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 62c | 226.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Panthers | 63c | 193.38$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 71c | 137.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Panthers | 65c | 123.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Panthers | 60c | 108.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Panthers | 22c | 84.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Panthers | 62c | 82.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Rangers | 35c | 63.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Rangers | 40c | 62.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Panthers | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Rangers | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Panthers | 62c | 49.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Rangers | 38c | 44.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Panthers | 59c | 41.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Panthers | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Rangers | 43c | 38.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Panthers | 65c | 36.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Panthers | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Rangers | 37c | 34.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +64%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Panthers | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Panthers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Panthers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Panthers | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Rangers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfd…3ea7backed Rangers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Rangers | 52c | 23.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Panthers | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…7042backed Panthers | 73c | 20.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Panthers | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. RangersRangers won
- Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.