NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb135e6afb784da79f08e81c2c08f5125bd94080e288f7b2b79d1f8d0a9c84cd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 3,999$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.63 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 24c | 2,628$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.05 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 1,866$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.06 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 1,485$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 950.93$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 860.28$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 59c | 856.98$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.5 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 50c | 752.4$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.2 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 50c | 730.82$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.71 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 58c | 666$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.24 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 642.77$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 17c | 615.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 9c | 581.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 581$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 57c | 523.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.29 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 29c | 437.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 41c | 377.05$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 46c | 250.78$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 249.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 44c | 243.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 45c | 184.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 43c | 165$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 43c | 165$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 53c | 149.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…965dbacked Over | 63c | 143.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 29c | 135.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 64c | 128.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 22c | 124$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 53c | 109.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 106.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 60c | 101.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3f4backed Under | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 46c | 94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 16c | 93.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 89.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 42c | 88.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 56c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 51c | 78.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…5f11backed Over | 57c | 70.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 70.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…bdd4backed Over | 60c | 66.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 20c | 52.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c5…787cbacked Under | 45c | 51.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Under | 40c | 49.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 44c | 44.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 44c | 41.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…a1e0backed Under | 44c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5b46backed Over | 61c | 36.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 29c | 36.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 34.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 40c | 27.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8661…4378backed Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 76c | 23.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd310…333ebacked Over | 68c | 15.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- 76ers vs. Hornets76ers won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 242.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 243.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 246.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 247.5Under won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.