NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c0d380b540d74590e6f8ff02391f09c4952a871b681ea2290e008768d32bfb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Under | 10c | 14,641$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 4,498$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.11 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 51c | 4,297$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.54 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 1,278$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 1,217$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.82 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 54c | 1,057$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.41 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 1,057$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 1,047$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.13 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.68 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,031$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 11c | 1,013$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 48c | 799.96$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.29 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 727.91$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.23 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 518.54$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.04 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 51c | 499.36$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.22 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Over | 56c | 389.27$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 359.21$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Over | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 278.12$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Over | 57c | 257$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Over | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 57c | 202$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 53c | 196.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 54c | 193$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 54c | 193$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Over | 63c | 191$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 50c | 145.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 52c | 144.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 122.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Over | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 24c | 110.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Under | 48c | 104.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over | 54c | 97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…ecfbbacked Over | 48c | 93.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 55c | 91.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 48c | 77.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Over | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 63c | 57.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Under | 48c | 48.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 46c | 42.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 34.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 49c | 33.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 31.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb7…d873backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Under | 48c | 21.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 52c | 20.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…f553backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- 76ers vs. Hornets76ers won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 242.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 243.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 246.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 247.5Under won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.