TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$464,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$467,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Over50c153,845$77,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,374.1215952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under51c74,586$37,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,862.2227747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6e…48e6backed Under51c65,300$32,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,314.422661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under50c45,240$22,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,670.220545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c21,486$10,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,971.844,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c19,496$9,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,883.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c16,918$8,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,559.462,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Over52c16,683$8,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,644.684658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c14,424$7,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,429.492,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over51c11,650$5,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,891.441,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6060…016ebacked Under50c9,236$4,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6184100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x369b…c6f1backed Over50c9,222$4,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,611475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…6230backed Over50c9,034$4,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,517475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c7,983$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,071.31,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50027546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c84…181fbacked Over48c6,214$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over52c6,124$3,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,170.6287750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…5165backed Over50c6,054$3,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,027560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c6,016$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,948.041,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa20c…2bf0backed Under50c6,006$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b9…2b6cbacked Under50c5,972$2,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9864100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d88…5b79backed Under50c5,544$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7724100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c5,529$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.212,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c5,485$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.52,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…f8b1backed Under50c5,438$2,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+63.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over50c5,244$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.3811543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36cc…fc11backed Under50c5,208$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6044100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c5,124$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.113,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over49c4,977$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,42515141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c4,909$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.621,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over51c4,852$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.7322948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over51c4,700$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.977248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d58…59dfbacked Over50c4,604$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c4,523$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.614,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c2…4ad2backed Over49c4,490$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c5…3437backed Over50c4,368$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c40…557dbacked Over50c4,310$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1249…6edebacked Over50c3,725$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c3,668$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.373,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c3,488$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.584,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c3,212$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.221,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…ac1cbacked Over50c3,207$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c3,200$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59221653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf6…f608backed Under50c3,116$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Over48c3,006$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.884535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb71…bca1backed Under50c2,808$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Over49c2,528$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.835349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c2,496$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.921,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f07…05c5backed Under50c2,128$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under49c2,020$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.211241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9803060%18 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7864944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62b…0563backed Over50c1,948$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,859$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.416,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3b…8d68backed Under50c1,818$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f79…0fcebacked Over50c1,788$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd56f…3bf2backed Under50c1,744$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Under49c1,604$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.9119346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7805269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a7…8ea2backed Over49c1,446$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c1,419$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.962,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under22c1,336$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.841,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under30c1,271$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.382,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,220$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61021247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over51c1,177$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c1,167$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.842,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c1,119$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.262,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over49c1,108$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54318241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf234…7f34backed Under50c940$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over52c890$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.4320846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over49c880$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.220051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c869.57$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.235,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab78…d293backed Over50c858$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c844.46$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.7995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Over50c799.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over51c771.39$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7438…b102backed Under52c758.71$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.712055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under48c705.24$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2229344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Over75c700$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5257152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe875…137dbacked Under50c684$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over53c681$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.932,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8319…1a76backed Under50c676$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+68.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c659.4$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7675…fe7abacked Over50c656$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eee…de20backed Over50c640$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa083…19c9backed Under50c624.54$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.271172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c614$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.831,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over51c605$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8331345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Over50c593.82$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.7927059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c591.22$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.431,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4185…298dbacked Over49c581.63$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-70%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002568%17 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c512.47$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over50c502$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25116740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d47…367ebacked Over50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.