TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c60,347$30,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,570.1332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over52c50,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,999.9643148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,399.971,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under48c14,981$7,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,190.7317550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c14,116$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,80034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Under49c13,331$6,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5325341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under50c11,478$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Under49c10,569$5,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,179.033941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Under48c9,354$4,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4904438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c8,952$4,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,338.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1776…e557backed Over50c8,446$4,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,228.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under48c7,896$3,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,79016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5bb…495cbacked Under48c6,933$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under48c6,642$3,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,188.2137747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under48c5,833$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a4…5329backed Under49c5,714$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under49c5,292$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.0831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c5,184$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.1758449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under48c4,997$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.3518749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under48c3,958$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90438946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under48c2,513$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.1814940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Under48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c2,190$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.974,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under48c1,719$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x536b…aaadbacked Under49c1,614$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c1,321$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.082,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Under48c1,244$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.985754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under48c1,204$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57818241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c1,190$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under49c1,143$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.2610651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c1,100$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.331,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c1,021$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.196,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Under45c967.2$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.2411243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c935.42$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4492,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c871.98$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under48c824.83$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Under45c793.33$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3575745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c737.43$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.244,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under45c680.43$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.1987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c671.49$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.315,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c625$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under49c537.76$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.4729344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2408951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c434.82$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.751,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.921,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over53c378.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8133251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under46c314.7$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5987453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over53c301.24$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14419435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Over58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over52c269$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1221443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.866250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over52c261.06$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c249.91$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.622,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over54c247.12$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under48c230$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.419348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over52c211.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5411157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under49c206$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa12c…4834backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3160346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under48c156.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c2…022dbacked Under45c145.04$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.273053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under48c138.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5623651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c132$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.272,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over53c129.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0967248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c128.85$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.923,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c127$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.071,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6044747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4c…ebeabacked Over52c124.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.31650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfed…096dbacked Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.143243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under46c90.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf89f…32b0backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.725042%21 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over55c87.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3738853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cdd…73b5backed Under46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.417747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3622942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf5b…24adbacked Over52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over56c73.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.587048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under49c68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3246447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed Under49c65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.856437.5%24 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under45c64.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.078134.6%28 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…6e25backed Under49c53.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under43c50.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.933,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2343750.1%219 W · 218 L-1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53650%18 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under42c48.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.481,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf558…b2cbbacked Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.086854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c47.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.295,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under45c43.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6650948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over52c42.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3222454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.214443.1%62 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.