TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 23.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,332 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No64c577.6$370 inLost-$369.671,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2d1…6b91backed Yes36c389.76$140 inWon+$249.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No44c320.16$141 inLost-$140.591,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Yes36c300.28$107 inWon+$193.2831540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes53c193.39$102 inWon+$91.4984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60fd…d815backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon+$75.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes55c145.45$80 inWon+$65.4593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No65c110$71 inLost-$71.527074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No47c100$47 inLost-$475,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc404…f3e4backed Yes44c59.16$26 inWon+$32.85580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick36cpaid+109.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No65c56.85$37 inLost-$36.9592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked No46c45$21 inLost-$20.71,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No55c39.68$22 inLost-$21.8239265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed No50c38.39$19 inLost-$19.226043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d46…c046backed Yes35c37.42$13 inWon+$24.421526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No66c25.63$17 inLost-$16.9289853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe86d…ada3backed No56c19.47$11 inLost-$10.915362.1%95 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.