NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecc4e246d0755310d662295946182503eb0a433d3ad10885a8f57cf2f6448ca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof 76ers, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 78c | 144.49$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Hornets | 80c | 142.43$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb60c…8e81backed 76ers | 23c | 100.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed 76ers | 34c | 91.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…fe8bbacked Hornets | 66c | 84.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked 76ers | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b3cbacked 76ers | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Hornets | 67c | 26.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Hornets | 77c | 23.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hornets | 77c | 15.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- 76ers vs. Hornets76ers won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 242.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 243.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 246.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 247.5Under won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.