TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,866,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,192,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,866,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Hornets68c518,696$353,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,862.6372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked 76ers32c312,500$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212,50036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Hornets69c171,847$119,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,406.2615952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed 76ers27c129,886$35,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,701.98750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked 76ers32c109,492$34,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,721.3411543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Hornets69c96,222$66,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,393.4416841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Hornets68c91,778$62,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,511.2410459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed 76ers33c90,733$29,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,919.659053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed 76ers31c68,560$21,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,966.765655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed 76ers31c67,314$21,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,254.9732540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed 76ers46c63,012$28,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,224.815048%24 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked 76ers34c62,695$21,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,661.5920744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f1…c5f8backed 76ers37c60,100$22,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,068.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets59c55,116$32,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,486.951,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked 76ers25c52,857$13,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,648.938225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers31c36,569$11,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,064.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed 76ers32c34,327$10,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,342.0210046%46 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers31c33,375$10,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,021.584,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers27c26,439$7,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,282.422,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed 76ers31c25,690$7,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,726.093450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Hornets0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets68c24,621$16,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,817.134,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked 76ers31c23,200$7,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,007.985655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 76ers35c22,575$7,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,742.0648845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Hornets53c22,210$11,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,731.8242348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed 76ers29c21,921$6,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,461.88532.9%28 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers27c21,533$5,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,767.992,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed 76ers31c19,900$6,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,731.2820947.8%100 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hornets11c19,714$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Hornets69c19,479$13,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,365.512025%5 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-55.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed 76ers31c18,633$5,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,846.8137448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed 76ers31c17,635$5,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,223.4565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdb…3629backed Hornets66c17,439$11,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,510333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed 76ers31c16,932$5,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,603.631,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed 76ers31c16,129$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,129.0326648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers26c15,999$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,839.262,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers35c15,607$5,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,151.493,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Hornets70c15,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.9910236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed 76ers14c14,999$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,82449244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed 76ers18c14,663$2,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,044.011,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed 76ers31c14,159$4,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,826.6386641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed 76ers70c13,383$9,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,021.8483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets67c12,743$8,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,537.961,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Hornets69c12,000$8,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,28027241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Hornets69c11,841$8,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,170.2914953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8d3…0e0fbacked 76ers31c11,600$3,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,004728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0287…8a29backed Hornets69c11,510$7,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,912.921118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-66.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Hornets29c10,704$3,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,131.4693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed 76ers57c10,521$5,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,524.222457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked 76ers51c10,225$5,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.2734456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Hornets69c10,200$7,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,042.713339.1%52 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Hornets72c10,104$7,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,254.7539349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed 76ers30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00016346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Hornets68c10,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,80038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked 76ers30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0009159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfec6…f355backed Hornets67c10,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7003847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed 76ers33c10,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,699.9846928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed 76ers31c10,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,939.8816942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e6…7ce6backed 76ers33c9,993$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,695.381855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed 76ers33c9,500$3,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,404.6235547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed 76ers41c9,451$3,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,550.4915274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed 76ers16c9,375$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,87510747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked 76ers31c8,958$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,181.068662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Hornets68c8,850$6,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,031.9611458.8%67 W · 47 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked 76ers31c8,700$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00324942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked Hornets68c8,487$5,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,771.253256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers49c8,398$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.0585742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Hornets68c8,393$5,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,721.6615643.6%68 W · 88 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked 76ers33c8,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3601,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked 76ers31c8,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5506440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed 76ers37c7,952$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,041.5950241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked 76ers31c7,881$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,437.5712042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked 76ers71c7,845$5,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.1714446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked 76ers31c7,838$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,378.3747043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets75c7,749$5,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,849.151,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets69c7,543$5,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,204.671,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed 76ers47c6,973$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,697.895633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed 76ers32c6,874$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,674.5341832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers34c6,746$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,479.215,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed 76ers29c6,509$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,621.5211249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed 76ers32c6,412$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,359.948154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked 76ers31c6,400$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,415.9128554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 76ers40c6,320$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,794.121,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hornets68c6,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked 76ers32c6,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,08023348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed 76ers11c5,909$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,246.679540%38 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked 76ers52c5,812$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.025352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets67c5,805$3,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,905.672,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked 76ers31c5,800$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,987.59629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed 76ers19c5,614$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,574.375036%18 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers46c5,438$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,959.155,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked 76ers19c5,289$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,289.4764944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 76ers53c5,164$2,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.9562144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x893b…a860backed 76ers16c5,163$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,362.56185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked 76ers23c5,085$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,926.424042.5%17 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Hornets68c5,000$3,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,402.5825947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked 76ers30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked 76ers30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed 76ers32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed 76ers35c5,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2508345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.