TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c6,179$2,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.242,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c3,351$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Over47c3,011$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4153941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21fd…9f94backed Over49c2,853$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb27…7bd0backed Over49c2,828$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c2,791$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.681,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c2,784$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.64,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd585…ef7dbacked Over49c2,628$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…f5abbacked Under51c2,601$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ea…9312backed Under51c2,513$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under53c2,096$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.2122948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over49c2,068$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1226…39d2backed Over49c1,983$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under53c1,966$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.951,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c6…f61bbacked Under51c1,429$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ad…d215backed Under51c1,390$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9615…11cbbacked Under51c1,186$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46c7…7f73backed Under51c1,180$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa81e…93a3backed Over49c1,034$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe932…c291backed Under51c1,029$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c1,016$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.413,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c959.18$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4554,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38465762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over77c649.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c610.02$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.142,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over49c608$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c604.2$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under54c495.25$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Over49c423.31$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1616242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under51c404.44$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7120545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c399.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Under52c396.83$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.483060%18 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under58c389.04$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0421843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over47c373.01$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under50c363.8$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under53c356.52$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.2149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Over44c313.07$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.752454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over47c270.21$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12713750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over47c260.5$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under54c220.05$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2289853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bf…a07cbacked Over49c178$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9764…4a55backed Over49c176$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…b16cbacked Under52c164$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a56…0d31backed Over49c164$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over46c159.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.622453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb518…ae3dbacked Under50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc28a…e150backed Under50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cf4…7780backed Over49c152$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under51c150.14$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…e0b5backed Over48c148$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4795260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Under66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3438464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1528949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Over44c93.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.073545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over48c89.49$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9629344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a92…f184backed Under51c86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under54c78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8823651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under45c77.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd145…8bccbacked Under52c74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+63.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e3…8ceabacked Over50c73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2869…622abacked Under51c71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ad…770ebacked Under52c71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over48c69.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.441,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa33…614bbacked Under51c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…e99bbacked Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…aa32backed Over50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.246255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.630256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d95…8466backed Under51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3478…8c07backed Under52c59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x478c…e3c8backed Over50c56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Over46c53.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.521145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf7…d632backed Over50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Over49c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4812331.7%39 W · 84 L-17.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over44c50.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2960945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2424442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x531e…0807backed Over50c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0893145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…5abebacked Under52c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.565100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+108.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb279…a17ebacked Over50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c44.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.691,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb233…ae08backed Under52c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c40.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.545,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed2…ad97backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205459.3%32 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.814443.1%62 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8036…be6fbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over57c38.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under53c37.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4221952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1f…791dbacked Under51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f63…3e0dbacked Over50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a9…e32dbacked Under51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under57c34.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Over48c34.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4912055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x843c…8405backed Under57c32.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.843161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked Under53c31.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7312949.6%64 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbed…6221backed Under37c30.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.