TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over47c11,365$5,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,382.5448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Under53c9,400$4,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4183946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over46c6,873$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.7611335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.981,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over49c2,752$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.417850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5afa…122dbacked Under52c2,739$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe7…8384backed Over48c2,545$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4876…6a6ebacked Over48c2,490$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe31…621ebacked Over48c2,144$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…556bbacked Under52c2,056$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a8…8c54backed Over48c2,007$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under54c2,000$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over48c1,972$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.3858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd4…b840backed Over48c1,970$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c1,966$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a5…15f8backed Under52c1,899$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ac…cd7cbacked Over48c1,782$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under54c1,688$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.163,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7320…bab4backed Under52c1,656$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3769…5c59backed Over48c1,616$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under52c1,600$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f5…ce20backed Over48c1,552$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1023…17e9backed Over48c1,539$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc072…7badbacked Over48c1,522$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3496…342abacked Under52c1,495$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccac…22b8backed Under52c1,437$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b9…230fbacked Under52c1,414$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ad…0109backed Under52c1,297$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa548…1fc3backed Under52c1,262$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Under57c1,233$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.944269%29 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4af6…323abacked Under52c1,208$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9b…2c1fbacked Under52c1,164$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6682…9a07backed Under52c1,002$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c723.26$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.421,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Under51c543.18$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.163060%18 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under52c485$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.81,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over44c473.32$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c450$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.364,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9677…c415backed Under52c435$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over49c408.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under52c352.83$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over47c338.7$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under56c329.69$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.091,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over48c305$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.462347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over46c275.59$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7617643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7029…4331backed Over48c208.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over48c207.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9921748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9614046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.578256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under77c170.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over44c160.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.191,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over43c150.15$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.561,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c145.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.452,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4514444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under55c143.72$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over45c135.56$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6144747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over44c131$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb402…42cebacked Over49c130.07$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.474639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over49c126.27$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6967248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81db…fa9cbacked Under52c124$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under51c117.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9424849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over47c109.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5991746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c107.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4823246.1%107 W · 125 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…bb76backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under52c86.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.548657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over45c86.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.991,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over47c64.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3124841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.830256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c50.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.164,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c5…787cbacked Over46c50.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.45616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbef6…48a3backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over48c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5223651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c48.16$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Under53c45.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2811659.5%69 W · 47 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed Under54c44.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over49c44.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7555444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9856…7014backed Over47c42.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.025949.2%29 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7d99backed Over47c41.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.412349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.816651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4612159.5%72 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0414349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over50c32.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1636350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98cf…b8eabacked Under53c31.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e68…75bbbacked Under77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.95569.1%38 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under52c28.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8440548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Under53c28.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1713253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbee…30b9backed Over49c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213140.5%53 W · 78 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under53c24.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4725651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c3…0920backed Under56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.211656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Under53c20.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7414054.3%76 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.632957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.