NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c159c9d3c542aa0b1ec5b3027d1cfd6f2d172a4ab1d61048fb6674e02ea5e0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 4,995$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 54c | 4,521$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.5 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 3,730$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.97 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 3,238$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.2 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 2,361$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.43 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 2,082$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.63 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 1,872$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.97 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,838$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 53c | 1,152$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.67 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 53c | 1,150$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.5 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…5156backed Under | 51c | 901.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 54c | 650.07$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…3657backed Under | 51c | 549$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…040dbacked Over | 53c | 467.92$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 47c | 399.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 49c | 320$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 49c | 280$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 216.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 213.26$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 52c | 212.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 184.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 46c | 173.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 153.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 49c | 145$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 49c | 145$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 112.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 109.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 96.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 50c | 90.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 54c | 89.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 56.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb402…42cebacked Over | 54c | 52.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…48a3backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 49c | 45.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…b331backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 51c | 33.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 68c | 32.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7d99backed Over | 53c | 31.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Under | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5957…6437backed Over | 49c | 21.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 75c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5this page
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-19.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-20.5)Trail Blazers won
- Wizards vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.