NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0974a69fda57de528a8c5725c06b529454cea6c0b156db87966b49e202361104
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 52c | 3,908$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.12 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.33 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 2,585$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 1,843$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.97 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 1,783$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 910$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.1 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 858.86$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.02 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 717$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 51c | 531.06$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.2 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 476.83$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.41 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 50c | 475$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 415.62$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 351.03$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 53c | 345.05$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 50c | 323$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 264.39$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Under | 51c | 251.18$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 47c | 248.87$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 243.22$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 45c | 208.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 48c | 150.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 44c | 147.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 53c | 144.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 52c | 125.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 118.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 52c | 111$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 106.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 50c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Over | 56c | 87.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 86.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 46c | 53.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 46.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 52c | 39.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 56c | 26.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over | 47c | 24.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 55c | 24.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…762abacked Under | 44c | 23.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0595…4247backed Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…90d4backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5this page
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-19.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-20.5)Trail Blazers won
- Wizards vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.