TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$293,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$294,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c132,531$71,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,537.3187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c91,699$42,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,478.494,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over53c59,224$31,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,388.5766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c29,558$14,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,1444,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over50c16,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c14,584$6,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,742.433,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under46c13,665$6,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,379.325658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under46c13,455$6,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,265.691,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under46c13,000$5,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0208839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3e…1e4abacked Over33c10,094$3,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,350.823033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c9,716$4,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,164.542,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c9,192$4,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,871.532,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c9,115$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,922.351,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over54c8,833$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7704535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c6,402$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.984,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2402,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92fc…2f25backed Under49c5,780$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.871258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c5,260$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.892,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c4,370$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.328154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over53c3,739$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over54c3,177$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.31,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over54c3,121$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.991,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b2…463cbacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x018d…7952backed Over53c2,492$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b3…7ff0backed Under47c2,489$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc296…2acbbacked Over53c2,469$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa20a…7d85backed Under47c2,457$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca24…e0fdbacked Under47c2,153$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Under48c2,041$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.7910847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7079…7e03backed Over53c2,033$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under48c2,005$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea6d…b132backed Over53c2,005$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c1,900$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.831,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over51c1,893$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.5858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c1,798$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bbd…9d00backed Under47c1,782$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d13…906ebacked Under47c1,472$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa5…48a3backed Over53c1,373$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over51c1,215$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.414556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over46c1,126$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.772634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5948747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97eb…b3b8backed Over53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c1,068$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.782,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48cb…9809backed Under47c1,051$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11fc…17d8backed Over53c1,032$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5308953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59c1…49e1backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,000$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under47c943.48$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.216642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfac9…614ebacked Over53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c844.27$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c815.02$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4192,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under47c784.08$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.5687453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37527455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over65c715.51$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.9533258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over50c709.22$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6191746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under46c699.98$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9949345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under46c600.16$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.7764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under47c589.96$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8168645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over54c468.22$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.8418648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.782,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Under51c423.06$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.6630157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under5c422.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.2833030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under47c420.42$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over57c391.96$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.422,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under8c347$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.4380440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over55c335.41$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0124955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under46c326$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfe…ba7ebacked Over54c314.81$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c309.33$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.63,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under31c300.13$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.1314438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under41c299.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.32,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under46c246.13$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9155347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c243.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.083,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under5c240$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22845544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under11c229.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab9…4669backed Under47c223.45$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under46c215.96$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6221347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under46c207.5$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over53c197.86$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.311,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over51c196.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9919054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under27c189.61$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4720353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under47c169.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8726450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under46c169.35$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over43c162.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over57c159.88$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.941947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c152$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over50c151.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4930453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.536045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over51c148.38$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under47c142.55$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5512541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over71c140.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.