TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-19.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,367
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,367 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks50c19,598$9,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,797.654,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336d…061abacked Spurs47c18,773$8,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,949.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ba8…70c9backed Bucks53c18,228$9,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,660.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Spurs46c17,005$7,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,160.236549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdc1…950cbacked Bucks53c16,113$8,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,539.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b43…f478backed Spurs47c15,426$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,175.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6bf…8eadbacked Spurs47c14,177$6,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,513.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs49c14,067$6,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,186.68,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f8…4845backed Bucks53c13,002$6,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,891.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fa…1217backed Bucks53c12,969$6,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,873.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c5…99ddbacked Bucks53c12,845$6,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,807.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa79c…b036backed Spurs47c12,822$6,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,795.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6750…bd04backed Spurs47c12,636$5,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,697.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9560…d183backed Bucks53c11,217$5,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,945.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e77…09b8backed Spurs47c11,215$5,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,943.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Bucks56c11,000$6,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,209.9866250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x990d…8341backed Spurs47c10,872$5,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,762.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72b5…d962backed Bucks53c9,645$5,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,111.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs42c6,833$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,938.272,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks54c5,295$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.221,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks54c4,621$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.464,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks54c4,283$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.092,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Spurs50c3,981$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.8920843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks54c3,616$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.781,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks53c3,333$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…49bbbacked Spurs47c3,025$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e0…eda6backed Spurs47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4ad…fe4ebacked Bucks53c2,601$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa00…0868backed Bucks53c2,513$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Bucks59c2,370$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.454639.1%18 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb77…2b5ebacked Bucks53c2,247$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks56c2,221$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.144,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs46c2,100$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1371,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0277…c063backed Bucks53c2,096$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71a9…2790backed Spurs47c1,970$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs48c1,929$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.741,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs48c1,916$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.351,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2355…572dbacked Bucks53c1,902$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Spurs41c1,864$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.854643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcde4…0a94backed Spurs47c1,829$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0cb…0438backed Bucks53c1,792$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs67c1,544$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.083,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcff0…7696backed Spurs47c1,523$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e22…45bdbacked Spurs47c1,363$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bucks56c1,206$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.9649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8645…5e95backed Spurs47c1,144$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01d9…a1e5backed Bucks53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Spurs73c1,039$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.171435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c7…45a0backed Bucks53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks53c994$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.825,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7858…ca38backed Bucks53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84a6…4f84backed Bucks56c887.87$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Bucks58c867.5$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks54c754.59$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.492,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bucks54c739.85$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.521,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks54c727.09$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2718…780bbacked Bucks59c695.45$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.2150%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks54c660.71$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.784,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Spurs44c631.38$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5754747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Spurs56c617.86$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.8611873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Spurs46c586.38$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.0159250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bucks54c582.57$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.595,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Spurs46c543.37$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Spurs46c542.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.944551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Spurs44c504$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28223435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bucks54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Bucks33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16517436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Spurs43c465.11$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9676250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Spurs48c421.05$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.957145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Spurs47c404.26$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2632450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd4f…f445backed Spurs47c395$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Bucks51c342.54$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2633258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Spurs67c341.88$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5236949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs53c335.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Bucks54c278.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Spurs44c273$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8820846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Spurs46c265.17$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7250948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Bucks53c256.91$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1614039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spurs51c253.2$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.171,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Spurs42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.112845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Spurs49c234.16$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.987744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs53c229.24$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.343,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Spurs46c224.37$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1613541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Spurs46c223.84$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6451647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Spurs42c219.05$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.059443.6%41 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Spurs46c216.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8641449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Bucks57c201$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5756843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bucks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Spurs51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Spurs43c195.35$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3515547.1%73 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks54c194$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.762,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Bucks57c192.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Bucks53c188$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.64728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2f…5cb9backed Bucks54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Spurs44c182$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9219348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs72c172$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.291,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc366…54cfbacked Spurs45c169.52$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bucks56c154.02$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.251,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Spurs45c138.59$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.223756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.