NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfa645d7200c4825323f4604ca790403e73d89992eed5a8823c0d7bc30ada41b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,769,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,045,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,769,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 49c | 637,248$312,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325,129.05 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks | 51c | 377,383$190,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190,822.04 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bucks | 51c | 358,922$183,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,050.01 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Spurs | 52c | 192,309$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,308.74 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks | 50c | 176,846$87,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,919.76 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Spurs | 49c | 171,669$83,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,701.78 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Bucks | 51c | 96,562$49,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,246.69 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bucks | 52c | 91,308$47,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,480.15 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Spurs | 48c | 80,000$38,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,599.98 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Bucks | 52c | 60,000$30,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,899.97 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Bucks | 48c | 59,239$28,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,434.79 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Spurs | 49c | 52,994$25,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,026.77 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 51c | 50,459$25,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,734.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Bucks | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 48c | 23,579$11,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,261.08 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Spurs | 49c | 20,567$10,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,446.53 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 51c | 14,000$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 48c | 13,177$6,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,324.99 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Spurs | 49c | 13,000$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Spurs | 56c | 12,753$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.37 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Bucks | 49c | 10,044$4,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,921.39 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Bucks | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.48 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 49c | 9,966$4,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Spurs | 49c | 8,536$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,353.36 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Spurs | 51c | 8,476$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175.66 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Spurs | 49c | 8,164$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bucks | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Spurs | 49c | 7,751$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.48 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Spurs | 48c | 7,542$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.67 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Spurs | 50c | 7,400$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs | 48c | 7,304$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.98 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 45c | 7,063$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Spurs | 50c | 6,005$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.06 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Bucks | 52c | 6,000$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Spurs | 50c | 5,656$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Spurs | 49c | 5,103$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.28 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Bucks | 51c | 5,000$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Bucks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Spurs | 49c | 4,954$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.49 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Spurs | 49c | 4,385$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.35 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…8e3dbacked Spurs | 48c | 4,282$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Spurs | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Bucks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Spurs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Spurs | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.55 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Bucks | 52c | 3,819$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 49c | 3,800$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 50c | 3,639$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Spurs | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 60c | 3,383$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 49c | 2,950$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.98 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Spurs | 48c | 2,429$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.31 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucks | 50c | 2,367$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.68 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bucks | 51c | 2,356$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.54 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…eaa6backed Spurs | 50c | 2,328$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Spurs | 49c | 2,174$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.61 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Spurs | 49c | 2,076$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.51 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Spurs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Spurs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Spurs | 50c | 1,995$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.51 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Spurs | 51c | 1,943$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.78 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Bucks | 51c | 1,936$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.44 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Bucks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe82…99a6backed Bucks | 45c | 1,906$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a7…9448backed Spurs | 55c | 1,906$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Spurs | 48c | 1,874$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.57 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…4569backed Spurs | 49c | 1,786$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Spurs | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.1 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Bucks | 33c | 1,740$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.35 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,705$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.7 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bucks | 50c | 1,700$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.34 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,659$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.21 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,592$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.84 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Spurs | 49c | 1,480$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.79 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 49c | 1,343$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.06 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Spurs | 49c | 1,332$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.06 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bucks | 41c | 1,231$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.97 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Spurs | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,217$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.35 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Spurs | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.45 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Spurs | 51c | 1,024$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.76 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 51c | 1,023$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.93 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Spurs | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Bucks | 52c | 1,004$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.98 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Bucks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Spurs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Spurs | 49c | 778.73$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.15 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Spurs | 49c | 759.09$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.13 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Spurs | 49c | 753.37$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.22 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Bucks | 52c | 739.43$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Spurs | 49c | 734.19$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.44 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Spurs | 48c | 732.8$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.06 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Spurs | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Bucks | 52c | 709.87$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Bucks | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Spurs | 51c | 687$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.63 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Spurs | 48c | 651.16$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.02 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. BucksSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.