TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,387,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,436,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,387,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks7c350,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,499.9948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Bucks6c205,085$11,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,862.4411241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks1c77,477$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.561,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bucks6c77,395$4,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,294.7347028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks1c38,299$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.561,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5083…9cbdbacked Bucks6c37,718$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.081040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9557…7136backed Bucks6c35,474$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.161020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Bucks2c35,211$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7022425%6 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Bucks7c31,973$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.3620744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bucks4c29,894$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.0866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks6c29,128$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.684,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f69…1ffebacked Bucks8c27,843$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.02850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Bucks7c26,664$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.1441832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Bucks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Bucks7c24,950$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.4918045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x893b…a860backed Bucks2c23,318$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.08185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Bucks6c20,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks6c20,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.981,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Bucks7c19,544$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.420355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks0c18,000$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Bucks3c17,052$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Bucks0c14,932$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.933554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ea0…950abacked Bucks1c14,211$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Bucks7c14,053$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Bucks5c13,139$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.2462347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Bucks7c12,313$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.98728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks0c11,231$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.288820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks3c11,097$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.111,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks7c10,283$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.772,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bucks6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks6c9,496$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.474,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf48c…7a6bbacked Bucks6c8,588$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Bucks1c8,392$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Bucks6c8,372$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.323540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks6c7,059$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.052,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2491…1bc5backed Bucks2c6,736$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be5…5741backed Bucks6c6,653$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.1850%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…4dd6backed Bucks8c6,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Bucks7c5,850$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.0210236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks6c5,128$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.652,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Bucks5c5,025$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8561336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Bucks8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Bucks12c4,824$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.341038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks6c4,786$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Bucks1c4,465$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks1c4,432$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.457211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Bucks8c4,428$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.223925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed Bucks4c4,425$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.925516.4%9 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea1a…8dadbacked Bucks6c4,415$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+53.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucks6c4,227$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.613,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Bucks5c4,200$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d2…aae4backed Bucks8c3,929$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+91.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf8d…80c8backed Bucks6c3,901$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.062055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Bucks8c3,889$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c8a…05e0backed Bucks6c3,813$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.78742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Bucks2c3,001$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3936023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Bucks6c3,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020048%96 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Bucks6c3,000$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3343438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Bucks8c2,972$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.7429250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks6c2,893$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.276,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Bucks7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011043.6%48 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aff…9688backed Bucks9c2,800$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-44.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3197…8cf8backed Bucks1c2,456$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks5c2,442$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.071,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Bucks7c2,329$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16317356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Bucks7c2,321$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.55745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x694a…ec41backed Bucks6c2,167$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Bucks6c2,100$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12617250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Bucks6c2,020$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1755346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Bucks5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Bucks6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Bucks7c2,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x678c…1debbacked Bucks7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc060…c2fcbacked Bucks6c1,903$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Bucks5c1,677$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Bucks6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks5c1,660$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.631,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd654…42b3backed Bucks1c1,626$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x141b…73bbbacked Bucks6c1,599$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.631030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Bucks7c1,560$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.25616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0528…424bbacked Bucks7c1,552$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.646550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Bucks7c1,500$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.553939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Bucks7c1,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Bucks7c1,488$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.198230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks7c1,465$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bf2…3b95backed Bucks7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f00…be86backed Bucks7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+75.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48c9…d019backed Bucks7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-72.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…d239backed Bucks7c1,428$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+777.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Bucks9c1,417$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8254246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Bucks8c1,348$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.668344.6%37 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Bucks6c1,333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801258%10 W · 115 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x389c…9a68backed Bucks8c1,200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bucks6c1,197$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.791,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Bucks6c1,195$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5417233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf8e…6fb9backed Bucks4c1,150$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-77.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d41…8234backed Bucks2c1,107$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0867…c3f4backed Bucks4c1,099$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9620644.7%92 W · 114 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Bucks6c1,000$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…7d64backed Bucks6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.