TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,063,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,098,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,063,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c373,670$190,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190,449.7687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c122,510$61,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,005.694,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under49c100,000$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,00066248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over51c83,388$42,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,548.0327747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c80,876$39,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,261.914,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under49c79,392$38,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,538.5154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Over50c46,493$23,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,246.313129%9 W · 22 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c41,768$20,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,719.5926253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over50c23,865$11,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,932.3960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under59c23,227$13,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,532.311,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1a…055abacked Under50c20,758$10,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,378.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c19,000$9,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,789.932,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac5a…933bbacked Under50c18,022$9,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0113100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6e…48e6backed Over52c17,608$9,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,156.082661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb11b…ab33backed Over50c14,741$7,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,370.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over43c14,574$6,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,304.252,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under50c14,082$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,081.6326648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1863…fdaebacked Over50c13,875$6,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,937.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc706…c2dcbacked Under50c13,586$6,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7933100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under48c13,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7608839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a6f…5f0abacked Over50c12,371$6,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,185.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…dfc6backed Over50c11,780$5,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,889.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over51c11,369$5,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,785.7811543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6324…8a93backed Over50c10,837$5,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,418.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c10,582$5,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2911,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…cc49backed Over50c10,530$5,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,265366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c10,449$5,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,177.14,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c01…1b91backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fdf…a0a0backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b4…6675backed Over50c9,389$4,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,694.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8167…cc4dbacked Under50c8,720$4,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.294100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7914…f9a3backed Under50c8,621$4,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,310.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45b0…4857backed Under49c8,164$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.642157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c8,142$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0711,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b05…0c17backed Under50c8,022$4,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,011475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,16043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c7,825$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,806.512,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x202e…35abbacked Under50c7,805$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,902.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6cd…28cdbacked Over50c7,161$3,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,580.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Under60c6,667$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.6713063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2355…572dbacked Under50c6,605$3,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,302.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under60c6,576$3,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,630.414953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x386e…0039backed Over50c6,549$3,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,274.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Under49c6,227$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,175.533941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x096c…ba7cbacked Under50c6,204$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c6,176$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.762,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under49c6,120$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.1328554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5907…86f1backed Under50c5,833$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,916.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6115…159fbacked Under50c5,761$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae6c…58c4backed Under50c5,711$2,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,855.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f8…52fbbacked Over50c5,647$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c5,541$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under48c5,530$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.555658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6478…38b4backed Under50c5,523$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6cc…d871backed Over50c5,243$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under50c5,200$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b0…57aebacked Over50c5,187$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b8c…403bbacked Over50c5,177$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f9…2ba1backed Over50c5,076$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d9…507abacked Under50c5,041$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c5,018$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.531,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06ca…14abbacked Over50c4,901$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x944b…2e72backed Under50c4,777$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb94d…0c7ebacked Under50c4,611$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0594…fdedbacked Over50c4,571$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd7…923bbacked Under50c4,469$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c9…a0f4backed Over50c4,457$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7fc…d353backed Under50c4,333$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7e…9110backed Under50c4,139$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb75e…2870backed Over50c4,121$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05eb…f59cbacked Under50c4,007$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c3,996$2,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.513,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c3,969$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.393,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c3,965$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.194,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf63…27e6backed Under50c3,921$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069d…19d2backed Under50c3,901$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcac…9e97backed Over50c3,877$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7554…ebd7backed Over50c3,849$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e41…fabcbacked Over50c3,757$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa442…caa7backed Over50c3,751$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae5f…7eddbacked Over50c3,713$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…109cbacked Over50c3,669$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ede…8b89backed Under50c3,635$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf84f…7aacbacked Under50c3,591$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ad…14cdbacked Over50c3,573$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bc…0cccbacked Over50c3,487$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aad…9110backed Over50c3,443$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over46c3,400$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.972634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81a8…69ddbacked Under50c3,367$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x136d…07fabacked Under50c3,275$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eaa…c85dbacked Under50c3,271$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d8f…00e8backed Under50c3,255$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x177e…9d07backed Under50c3,201$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Under60c3,180$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2728748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a4f…26f6backed Under50c3,089$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7023…1c9dbacked Over50c3,051$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c3,000$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.831,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97b…fd18backed Over50c2,903$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf061…4e67backed Under50c2,899$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.