NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cd88a5f04d66aa5d468b1db0b5d9b446b86c0e8ce4e10340433b63dc091a295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $478,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $540,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Bucks | 56c | 85,004$47,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,570.87 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Spurs | 50c | 50,407$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,407.4 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 46c | 30,972$14,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,865.52 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 47c | 25,624$11,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,642.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Bucks | 53c | 23,815$12,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,621.95 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks | 54c | 22,964$12,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,335.76 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks | 53c | 22,343$11,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,871.77 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 51c | 20,166$10,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,835.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs | 48c | 16,601$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,670.84 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 71c | 7,627$5,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.83 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 50c | 6,827$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.4 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Bucks | 55c | 6,000$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086d…1bfcbacked Spurs | 50c | 5,577$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 53c | 5,314$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.14 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa716…ae3fbacked Spurs | 50c | 5,133$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…0524backed Bucks | 50c | 4,985$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…4738backed Bucks | 50c | 4,959$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…cc5dbacked Bucks | 50c | 4,767$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs | 56c | 4,549$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.39 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5969…499abacked Spurs | 50c | 4,525$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…cc66backed Bucks | 50c | 4,419$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 48c | 3,750$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Spurs | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.17 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f08…ad31backed Spurs | 50c | 3,661$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Bucks | 56c | 3,625$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.03 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Spurs | 71c | 3,532$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.3 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63a…a38dbacked Spurs | 50c | 3,513$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…7a57backed Bucks | 50c | 3,495$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Spurs | 46c | 3,402$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.89 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeca…5fecbacked Bucks | 50c | 3,233$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 49c | 3,136$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.13 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs | 45c | 3,102$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.1 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Bucks | 52c | 3,055$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.43 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bucks | 52c | 3,000$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 49c | 2,972$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.11 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…c5b5backed Spurs | 50c | 2,969$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 47c | 2,932$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.83 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae3…57edbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,917$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…caffbacked Bucks | 50c | 2,905$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2519…1aa9backed Spurs | 50c | 2,875$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd313…8d0bbacked Bucks | 50c | 2,871$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f672backed Bucks | 50c | 2,834$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…9e98backed Spurs | 50c | 2,827$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…00f4backed Spurs | 50c | 2,823$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 49c | 2,538$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.91 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cc…9461backed Spurs | 50c | 2,507$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bucks | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Bucks | 56c | 2,477$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.46 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…702fbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,351$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…09eebacked Spurs | 50c | 2,345$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 53c | 2,312$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…1201backed Spurs | 50c | 2,207$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0669…0d79backed Bucks | 50c | 2,193$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bucks | 52c | 2,188$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.88 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92da…855bbacked Bucks | 50c | 2,105$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 64c | 1,914$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.2 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6235…fccbbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,912$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…8c90backed Bucks | 50c | 1,882$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Spurs | 54c | 1,815$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.07 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4119…8676backed Bucks | 50c | 1,736$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Spurs | 49c | 1,684$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.68 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 50c | 1,635$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.84 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…2deebacked Bucks | 50c | 1,616$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb67…d88fbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,414$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bucks | 47c | 1,389$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.05 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…c5e5backed Spurs | 50c | 1,317$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spurs | 44c | 1,309$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.08 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Bucks | 52c | 1,271$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.75 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,269$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.78 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…fec8backed Bucks | 50c | 1,154$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 65c | 1,071$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.7 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Spurs | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d3…3535backed Bucks | 50c | 1,052$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Bucks | 50c | 999$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 45c | 995.83$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59da…38adbacked Spurs | 50c | 962$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd2…d4e0backed Spurs | 50c | 825$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Spurs | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bucks | 46c | 777.62$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 38c | 766.31$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.85 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Spurs | 47c | 757.04$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.55 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Bucks | 52c | 602.04$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Bucks | 54c | 600.27$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.8 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Spurs | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Bucks | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 49c | 541.55$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.44 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 53c | 532.99$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Spurs | 68c | 530.39$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.3 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Spurs | 47c | 528.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.9 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 69c | 509.82$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.37 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…0efbbacked Spurs | 47c | 504.35$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.31 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Bucks | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Spurs | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Bucks | 50c | 500$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 45c | 475.03$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.49 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Bucks | 53c | 475$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Bucks | 53c | 464.15$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 51c | 459.92$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.56 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Bucks | 48c | 443.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. BucksSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.