TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,855 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over50c119,997$59,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,998.543148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under50c108,602$54,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,300.925658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over49c54,461$26,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,655.0287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c47,343$24,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,198.074,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under51c7,400$3,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,625.9916249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c7,020$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,509.911,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c3,965$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c3,606$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c3,260$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.274,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Under53c1,487$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.089952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over47c1,265$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.482,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c1,011$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.714,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c928.05$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.442,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over47c849.96$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4429344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under56c843.87$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.31,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under53c825.16$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.6549249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over45c805.05$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.662634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c804.03$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.952,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c801.16$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.1695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c759.75$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.281,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c741.89$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.031,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Under54c700.67$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.674269%29 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Under60c657.93$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8417047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c625$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.251,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under63c618.32$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.6933258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over40c518.5$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.45,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c444.05$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.033,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over44c427.33$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.217233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4af4…f9e0backed Under65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.43865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c303.65$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c266.73$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.991,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed Over47c261.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.144042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0708…3b30backed Under55c229.05$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.151566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over48c224.82$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.592,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Under54c220.8$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.84438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.042,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c187.43$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8460346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under54c169.3$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7110748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over44c163.02$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Under44c145$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.28541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c118.17$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.733,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Over55c114.78$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.133033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4213…6940backed Under53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.213473.5%25 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Under51c112.57$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.167542.7%32 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over47c110.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0655347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over74c110$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.424955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under53c107.91$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.73,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over49c102.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0412541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c97.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.845,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over35c97.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over45c94.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.343,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3472250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c91.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…1480backed Over47c87.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.16742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c79.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.822,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over59c72.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.346256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x334f…5886backed Under56c71.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.572669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over46c66.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7278648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over44c62.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6123651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under51c61.45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.824953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Under77c58.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.42450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under53c50.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.941,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over47c47.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2960945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1793145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ecd…1da3backed Under75c46.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.953751.4%19 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…5f11backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207047.1%33 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2432654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf237…4989backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207450%37 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.627548.7%134 W · 141 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Under50c39.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.822746.3%105 W · 122 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under34c39.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9916369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under37c39.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7333030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd20…b5f6backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under37c39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5778639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under50c38.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0442352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53d…b31bbacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.746544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under51c37.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4923950.6%121 W · 118 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…3fb1backed Over48c37.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.689347.3%44 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over50c37.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4126450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under59c33.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9636949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5957…6437backed Over48c31.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.895156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under53c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5732752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under55c30.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9154854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef7…136cbacked Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.887353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb333…e295backed Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Under53c28.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0712364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f4…48c6backed Under54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7813852.9%73 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da3…c75fbacked Over47c26.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.455034%17 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6726…1a74backed Under51c24.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.095650%28 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over47c24.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4519348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ee…d3d0backed Under54c24.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.132433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56ce…ea8dbacked Under51c23.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.492850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.