TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ef7…136c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.92
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.88
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.22
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.45
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$8.41
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.71
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.97
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+59%+$20.68
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$17.31
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.29
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.64
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.11
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.31
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.56
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+71%+$122.49
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$111.25
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+79%+$25.19
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.85
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$18.2
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.37
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$11.76
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$16.47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+262.9%+$250.74
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+204.6%+$118.31
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$2.82
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.04
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.73
Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Canadiens vs. Predatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$99.66
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.96
Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.88
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$28.08
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.25
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$66.93
Jets vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.62
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.38
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$147.39
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65.15
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-14.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.06
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.73
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$28.25
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.69
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$82.45
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.03
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$77.1
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.51
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.66
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$35.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$22.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$20.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.