NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x012e8d76e043d35dabcb7700990db4ea8a05800bab2603cedb0eeb414d33a203

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $82,367
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $85,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,367 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under	49c	45,353$22,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,223.09	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Over	51c	15,539$7,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,614.11	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over	51c	12,444$6,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,097.32	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	48c	11,629$5,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,547.68	515	50.7%261 W · 254 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Over	51c	8,200$4,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,018	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	53c	8,000$4,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,790	418	42.8%179 W · 239 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Over	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	49c	3,425$1,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,678.11	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over	52c	3,333$1,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599.83	275	47.6%131 W · 144 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Over	52c	2,826$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,356.66	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under	47c	2,500$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,175	623	46.9%292 W · 331 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	48c	2,400$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.98	769	50.3%387 W · 382 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	51c	2,289$1,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,125.17	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under	48c	2,225$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,067.86	367	48%176 W · 191 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over	51c	2,060$1,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,009.4	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	39c	1,956$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.24	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Over	51c	1,918$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.82	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+27%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over	53c	1,623$860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762.88	836	52.8%441 W · 395 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over	53c	1,320$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.4	149	54.4%81 W · 68 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	51c	963.04$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.89	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	52c	900$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.44	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under	1c	900$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-94.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over	29c	868.7$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.56	79	38%30 W · 49 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	52c	859$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.33	868	52.4%455 W · 413 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	47c	833$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.51	318	48.7%155 W · 163 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	52c	769.23$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.23	472	56.8%268 W · 204 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over	51c	742$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.58	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	39c	490.26$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.35	140	62.1%87 W · 53 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	39c	490.26$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.35	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Over	51c	477.06$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.76	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over	53c	353$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.24	185	57.8%107 W · 78 L	+16.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over	53c	304.23$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.23	288	42%121 W · 167 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Under	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	385	55.6%214 W · 171 L	+24.1wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over	51c	294$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.06	339	41.3%140 W · 199 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over	50c	250$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	165	46.7%77 W · 88 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	47c	204.01$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.88	1,092	50.4%550 W · 542 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	393	43%169 W · 224 L	+12.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	22c	191.08$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.26	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under	58c	182.08$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.38	146	50%73 W · 73 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under	49c	155$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.46	347	52.4%182 W · 165 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under	49c	112.23$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.99	388	49.5%192 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over	53c	100.17$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.19	924	44.5%411 W · 513 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	657	21.9%144 W · 513 L	-105.6wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	125	51.2%64 W · 61 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9044…c2f5backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	43c	93.81$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.25	498	51%254 W · 244 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over	58c	93$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.52	1,431	58.3%834 W · 597 L	+81.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over	51c	91.88$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.02	135	49.6%67 W · 68 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over	20c	90$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	385	51.4%198 W · 187 L	+16.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86f2…a659backed Over	51c	85.47$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.88	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Under	50c	83.56$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.78	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under	30c	80.36$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.1	227	59.5%135 W · 92 L	+9.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Over	51c	79.86$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.13	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Under	45c	75$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.78	149	44.3%66 W · 83 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over	55c	73.38$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.38	34	76.5%26 W · 8 L	+5.6wins	+0.16per pick	60cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over	53c	70$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.9	216	51.4%111 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under	47c	65.78$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.92	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	45c	64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.72	513	43.3%222 W · 291 L	-21.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under	45c	64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.72	384	47.4%182 W · 202 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Under	46c	64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.12	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9401…38cbbacked Over	51c	63.9$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.31	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under	47c	50.4$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.69	130	50%65 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd20…b5f6backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under	48c	46$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.08	152	48%73 W · 79 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under	50c	44.8$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	116	56%65 W · 51 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Under	50c	44.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.07	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	52c	43$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.79	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x599b…2253backed Under	50c	42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over	36c	41.53$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.53	1,107	52%576 W · 531 L	+63.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over	51c	40.37$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.78	132	53%70 W · 62 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	31c	40.31$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.89	295	53.6%158 W · 137 L	+13.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea6a…3ee2backed Under	69c	39.92$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.42	524	51%267 W · 257 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	45c	39.38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.72	831	49.5%411 W · 420 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Under	50c	31.39$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.7	173	43.4%75 W · 98 L	-12.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a22…9f35backed Under	50c	30.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.44	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb333…e295backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84a9…dbc4backed Under	50c	28.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over	67c	28.28$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.33	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	72c	25.85$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.57	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ef7…136cbacked Under	49c	23.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over	51c	21.18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.38	235	59.1%139 W · 96 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under	48c	21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	189	49.2%93 W · 96 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	427	50.8%217 W · 210 L	-12.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa96d…acddbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da7…762abacked Under	54c	19.13$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.33	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under	71c	16.62$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	110	55.5%61 W · 49 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event