NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f4ed2bb357a8a2f564ba258cecf8902cb0614db8f7c594531f0238b6badd002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,175,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,184,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,175,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 641 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flyers | 45c | 412,994$186,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226,876.66 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 56c | 120,645$67,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,306.06 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 44c | 105,262$46,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,212.61 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flyers | 46c | 90,000$41,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,600 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…c5f8backed Red Wings | 54c | 75,700$40,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,878 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Red Wings | 54c | 69,506$37,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,533.45 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings | 55c | 62,296$34,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,108.11 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Flyers | 46c | 62,058$28,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,511.47 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Red Wings | 54c | 50,230$27,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,124.45 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Red Wings | 54c | 50,169$27,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,091.51 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 56c | 25,230$14,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,222.39 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flyers | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,250 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Red Wings | 57c | 21,781$12,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,360.74 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Red Wings | 54c | 21,495$11,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,607.48 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Flyers | 46c | 18,888$8,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.51 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings | 55c | 17,089$9,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,393.47 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Red Wings | 50c | 13,927$6,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,944.2 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Red Wings | 56c | 13,924$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,850 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Red Wings | 56c | 13,141$7,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,346.93 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Red Wings | 55c | 12,188$6,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,703.4 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Red Wings | 54c | 11,555$6,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,245.3 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Red Wings | 54c | 11,050$5,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,967 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Red Wings | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Flyers | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.95 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Red Wings | 4c | 9,988$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.47 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Red Wings | 55c | 9,891$5,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.05 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Red Wings | 55c | 9,822$5,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,366.79 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flyers | 44c | 9,252$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.27 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Red Wings | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…41f8backed Red Wings | 9c | 8,120$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.79 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Red Wings | 56c | 7,152$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Red Wings | 55c | 6,978$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.99 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Red Wings | 54c | 6,600$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings | 54c | 6,563$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531.26 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Red Wings | 54c | 6,480$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.2 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Red Wings | 55c | 6,207$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.57 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Flyers | 44c | 6,020$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.79 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Flyers | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Red Wings | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32dd…c881backed Flyers | 43c | 5,798$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.86 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Red Wings | 54c | 5,687$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.45 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Red Wings | 54c | 5,060$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.4 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flyers | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Flyers | 45c | 4,680$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 44c | 4,652$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.02 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Red Wings | 5c | 4,560$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.54 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 55c | 4,525$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.52 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9a…b30fbacked Red Wings | 55c | 4,520$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Red Wings | 56c | 4,170$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.41 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Red Wings | 16c | 4,129$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Flyers | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Red Wings | 56c | 4,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers | 73c | 3,931$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.2 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…6146backed Red Wings | 4c | 3,927$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Red Wings | 54c | 3,685$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Red Wings | 54c | 3,645$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.55 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.02 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Red Wings | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Red Wings | 56c | 3,429$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.07 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 44c | 3,208$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.21 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed Red Wings | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Red Wings | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Flyers | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Red Wings | 55c | 2,864$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.85 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Red Wings | 54c | 2,826$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Red Wings | 55c | 2,589$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.01 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Red Wings | 3c | 2,238$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Red Wings | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.1 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Red Wings | 15c | 2,200$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Red Wings | 5c | 2,002$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Red Wings | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Red Wings | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 20c | 1,948$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Red Wings | 29c | 1,913$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.34 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,901$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.49 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Red Wings | 56c | 1,900$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.41 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked Red Wings | 54c | 1,892$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 58c | 1,848$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.71 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,832$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.09 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,819$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.48 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings | 29c | 1,793$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.78 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Red Wings | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,767$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Red Wings | 34c | 1,750$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,650$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.77 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,618$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.49 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,525$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.61 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Flyers | 67c | 1,510$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.3 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Flyers | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flyers | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Red Wings | 40c | 1,320$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,312$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.87 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,266$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.64 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings | 16c | 1,256$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,213$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.61 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Flyers | 45c | 1,173$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.33 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,132$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.1 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.