TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a22…9f35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT6053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.52
Blackhawks vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$13.67
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.98
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.03
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.58
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.5
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.31
Jets vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.39
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.33
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.56
Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.6
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.32
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.39
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$3.5
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.42
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
Spurs vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.81
Spread: Hornets (-17.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.24
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$48.45
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.89
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.91
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+100%+$18.57
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$22.34
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+98%+$20.33
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+195.6%+$62.14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.95
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.1
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$66.08
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$38.55
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.54
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.24
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$38.83
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.13
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.05
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.51
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.28
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.61
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.3
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$58.42
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42.06
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.73
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.69
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.15
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-46.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.35
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$22.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.65
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$34.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+177.8%+$36.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.3%+$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delray Beach Open: Alex Michelsen vs Sebastian Kordabacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.