NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03aaa374fe493d9872560b2231f46c6d930da30099589783dfc28962a573cb2d

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $135,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,073 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under	50c	116,129$57,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,258.15	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	50c	55,772$27,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,936.06	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over	50c	14,083$7,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,041.55	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Over	50c	13,000$6,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,500	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	50c	8,601$4,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,300.5	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	51c	5,562$2,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,836.67	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5945…67cabacked Over	51c	4,540$2,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,315.4	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-36%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	51c	3,899$1,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,977.04	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Over	51c	3,383$1,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,725.22	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	50c	1,800$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	50c	1,797$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.29	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	50c	1,600$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	49c	1,179$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.87	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over	52c	1,060$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.49	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Over	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over	51c	910.78$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.5	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	50c	800$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	43c	787.31$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.39	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Over	51c	750$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.5	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	50c	704$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over	53c	568.9$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.14	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under	47c	555.75$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.62	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Over	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	210	49.5%104 W · 106 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	16c	339.52$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.56	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0588…1845backed Over	51c	317$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.67	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over	52c	315.9$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.27	186	50%93 W · 93 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over	10c	305.56$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.56	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over	52c	301.92$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb007…21f2backed Under	52c	269.96$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.96	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	18c	248.85$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.52	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over	50c	215.54$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.77	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	50c	190.42$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.55	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over	55c	185.34$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.94	289	49.1%142 W · 147 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	47c	157.56$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.25	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	28c	152.24$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.36	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Over	56c	150$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	400	53.5%214 W · 186 L	+14.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	51c	141.18$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under	45c	140.02$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.95	293	44.4%130 W · 163 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	47c	121.91$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.41	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	45c	115.74$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.66	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under	45c	111.95$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.57	236	51.3%121 W · 115 L	+11.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	47c	110.87$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.6	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	50c	110$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under	49c	101.14$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.14	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over	48c	96.16$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.16	421	53%223 W · 198 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf89f…32b0backed Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over	55c	72.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	144	44.4%64 W · 80 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Over	17c	70.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.92	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under	44c	62.74$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.13	249	49%122 W · 127 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae6f…6c9bbacked Under	49c	59.62$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.41	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	48c	57.58$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.91	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under	46c	54.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.35	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa546…603dbacked Under	47c	53.2$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	49c	51.46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.22	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Over	52c	50.51$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.27	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	118	55.1%65 W · 53 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Over	52c	49.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	166	51.2%85 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over	54c	46.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.82	139	54%75 W · 64 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	50c	44.32$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.16	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over	52c	44.23$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	180	55%99 W · 81 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	270	50%135 W · 135 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Over	50c	42.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	154	53.2%82 W · 72 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under	44c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.4	144	43.1%62 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…7379backed Over	50c	36.82$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.58	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under	48c	35.47$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.45	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Over	49c	34.42$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	137	51.1%70 W · 67 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	52c	31.75$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.51	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	165	51.5%85 W · 80 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c7d…6af8backed Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5957…6437backed Over	52c	27.53$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.32	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a22…9f35backed Over	52c	26.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-3.7wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	45c	24.82$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.65	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	52c	24.77$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under	50c	24.44$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.22	201	44.8%90 W · 111 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fae…d503backed Over	52c	23.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	104	52.9%55 W · 49 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Over	52c	23.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	106	56.6%60 W · 46 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Over	52c	23.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Over	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Over	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	75c	15.78$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.99	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5this page
1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5No won
Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Raptors vs. ClippersClippers won
Raptors vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
Raptors vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Raptors vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Clippers won
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event