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NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,480 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under54c69,789$37,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,201.6287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c59,894$27,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,739.474,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under54c26,218$14,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,060.4166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under52c12,619$6,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,093.4774748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Over46c11,454$5,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2695036%18 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c8,613$4,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,109.981,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over46c7,854$3,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,612.8431643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over48c6,755$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.424942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c6,503$3,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c6,188$2,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,917.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c5,238$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6191,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over47c4,674$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.781,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Over48c3,860$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.89629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Over46c3,860$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.63554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under52c3,844$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.1441649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c3,287$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.652,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c2,966$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.792,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under52c2,906$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.7721142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c2,622$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.723,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over50c2,000$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.7787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf303…5847backed Under53c1,669$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.043237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over46c1,529$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.417850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under52c1,198$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.122948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c1,144$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.938,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Over46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,021$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.186,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over47c1,013$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.237842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Over50c840$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42012240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under78c705$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c647.96$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.273,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c609.67$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.541,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under53c490.56$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed Over50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22526069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over50c444$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2229845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Over45c439.97$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.992138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over50c399$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.571449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under50c365$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.511543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c353$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.481,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c348$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1741,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Under50c309.79$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.892744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under49c293.62$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7564651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over48c291$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6811453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over48c279.12$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13524949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over50c247$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.516845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c245.51$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Over50c228$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1146040%24 W · 36 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Over50c225$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.514145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over50c225$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.523850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9737…09c1backed Over50c225$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.54240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over50c225$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.513352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over50c224$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over50c224$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11214445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over46c223.14$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8926839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under51c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c196.81$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.589853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6811833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over46c187.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.441,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff7…4176backed Over47c177$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+53.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over45c175.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8027138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb402…42cebacked Over48c165.21$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.34639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over49c158.7$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7655347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over45c150.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under50c147.2$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.921,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over50c136$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6818744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over49c134.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4542153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over49c124$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7634247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over15c123.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1465542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.825138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over48c115$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.228852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over50c115$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Over50c115$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.55160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over49c109.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6260945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd67…02bfbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c105.21$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.584,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over48c105$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.454443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5062049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c95.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.042,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3453453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over50c93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.516245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc480…ae0ebacked Over50c92.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.252850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Over50c87.42$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.715742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under57c87.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.321,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e8…1c01backed Under53c75.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.637451.4%38 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Under53c74.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.844953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over48c71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0815650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f31…2d48backed Under57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.181662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f2…a659backed Over48c65.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.288943.8%39 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Over50c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.59451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3032747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…0b9cbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011447.4%54 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.