TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Raptors, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,475,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,475,440 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,949 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Raptors38c261,547$99,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,900.5616841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Clippers62c95,236$59,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,192.125959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Raptors22c86,262$19,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,245.0210239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6e…48e6backed Clippers62c85,000$52,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,3002661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Clippers62c80,645$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,645.1636549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Clippers63c70,760$44,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,259.5270147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Clippers63c60,709$38,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,345.3617050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Clippers62c57,048$35,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,678.2411543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors38c53,278$20,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,035.11,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Raptors1c49,682$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.711,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers62c49,355$30,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,875.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Raptors39c48,135$18,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,772.549053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Raptors38c47,223$17,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,944.7522453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Clippers67c45,081$30,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,84020744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Clippers61c44,129$26,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,153.3832540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers61c42,279$25,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,3532,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors38c39,411$15,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,160.241,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors21c31,858$6,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,797.478,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf398…a9b1backed Raptors39c27,861$10,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,823.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Raptors39c25,000$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,75061851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers61c23,185$14,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,042.131,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x893b…a860backed Raptors1c22,509$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Raptors38c22,054$8,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,380.4566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers75c21,907$16,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,537.15,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors25c21,254$5,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,239.973,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Clippers68c21,192$14,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,878.9437557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Raptors1c20,000$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2627917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors39c19,110$7,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,462.634,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Clippers70c18,673$13,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,641.0576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Raptors39c17,431$6,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,797.974057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors39c17,412$6,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,731.052,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Clippers62c16,000$9,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,08020355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Raptors39c16,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,24028554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors1c15,659$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.741,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers74c15,401$11,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,070.143,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Raptors38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,700.051,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Raptors38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70027241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Raptors38c14,096$5,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,356.3119957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors8c13,674$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.161,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Clippers78c13,273$10,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,927.121,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Raptors39c13,110$5,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,070.6841832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed Clippers62c11,276$6,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,282.217864.1%50 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Raptors0c11,235$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.945213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Clippers78c10,703$8,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.1827865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Clippers62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8006352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Raptors38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.8618547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb187…bbe1backed Raptors39c9,894$3,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,858.772729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Raptors38c9,111$3,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,432.0565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Raptors1c8,754$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6764517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4f…267ebacked Clippers63c8,418$5,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,102.594553.3%24 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Clippers63c8,250$5,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.51,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe262…ac17backed Clippers63c8,089$5,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e94…7f1ebacked Raptors15c8,000$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.997742.9%33 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ea…9a8cbacked Raptors39c7,828$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.944153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Raptors21c7,749$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.452,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Clippers61c7,659$4,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,987.0916146%74 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Clippers61c7,500$4,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,92529250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0d3…ad75backed Raptors38c7,100$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Raptors0c6,815$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.348820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Raptors12c6,724$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.8317246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Raptors4c6,446$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25034136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Clippers80c6,406$5,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.81,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Clippers63c6,027$3,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.179857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Clippers63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Raptors38c5,992$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.9232039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Raptors9c5,801$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.451,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96dd…17febacked Clippers63c5,723$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.978661.6%53 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Raptors38c5,606$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.273650%18 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Clippers65c5,431$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.9210254.9%56 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Raptors38c5,163$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.6512042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Raptors1c5,104$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.751,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Raptors37c5,100$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.9562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Raptors38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Raptors11c5,000$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.4342640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Raptors37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.9747043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Raptors9c4,493$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.0136023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors39c4,446$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Raptors12c4,226$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Raptors21c4,099$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.7485344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors36c4,084$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.961,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Clippers62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52037448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers61c3,871$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.242,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d22…1807backed Raptors37c3,862$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.17850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Clippers62c3,744$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.8131453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers63c3,616$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.181,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Clippers63c3,566$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.6420947.8%100 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2103…4ff5backed Raptors0c3,530$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6468.7%4 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid+23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Clippers60c3,403$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.138555.3%47 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bd…7235backed Raptors24c3,400$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8306429.7%19 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Raptors39c3,390$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.0826048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors37c3,256$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.71,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a3…65e3backed Clippers62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.81650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a7…3845backed Raptors38c3,154$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.561118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-69.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5cf…55d3backed Raptors39c3,077$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81cf…9227backed Raptors9c3,063$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.819549.5%47 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Clippers63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1105552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Raptors38c3,000$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1251,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Raptors38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1406440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa95c…3d30backed Clippers63c2,715$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e92…dd4fbacked Clippers63c2,710$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.