TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,502 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b46…684dbacked Over18c6,001$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under72c5,334$3,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.374,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Over55c4,951$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.1818343.7%80 W · 103 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0588…1845backed Over55c4,514$2,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.431435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c3,233$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over5c3,196$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0710239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c2,537$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.692,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c2,315$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under46c1,879$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.3687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under56c1,863$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.643,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Over54c750.78$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.423231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3851,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over21c621.69$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.32,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c568.45$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.962,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under46c530.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.0526839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over54c520$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.824955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under47c503$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5911543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2755843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Over51c458.82$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2344269%29 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over41c436.74$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.561,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under45c402$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.11,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over49c368.73$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18028949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over23c357.14$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c278.7$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over57c270.18$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c258.08$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.714,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under43c225$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2524949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over37c217.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under79c192.03$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8856547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8845646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under45c129.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4922453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under50c129.22$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1942153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under44c127.49$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0323651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over55c125$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7558754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Over33c124.71$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419153.8%49 W · 42 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under35c124.63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.951,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c4f…59e0backed Under78c116.96$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under36c110.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6144551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9541…b58ebacked Over48c104.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010725.2%27 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5669337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5742348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over45c93.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5365542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under45c84.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6450948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4054951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf234…e8dcbacked Over13c75.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over54c74.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.683,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over56c67.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9655347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Over57c67.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.376248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3523657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under45c60.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5157250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.913953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over57c58.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.541,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over53c56.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.321,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af9…d3b8backed Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Under54c53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.411843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Over46c49.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7714931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over56c46.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2760945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over57c42.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2620762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Over36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155736.8%21 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under50c37.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1518052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203844.7%17 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Under57c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7118261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.961,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under44c29.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3723349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under46c29.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8587744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over52c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb321…6781backed Over71c27.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.331668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under74c26.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0436154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79ee…dae9backed Over57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb7…d873backed Over53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3612245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under44c23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8832752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Under48c22.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.926550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Over54c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9210…5430backed Over56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.