NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78e27040609151ac50ee72443c631e1cdfe068b611970e46e4fdb5dfcc4c6e2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,543 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 49c | 35,845$17,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,440.87 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Clippers | 51c | 32,335$16,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,844.26 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Raptors | 50c | 20,055$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Clippers | 52c | 16,070$8,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,713.7 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Clippers | 55c | 13,640$7,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,143.64 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Clippers | 50c | 11,561$5,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,780.66 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 47c | 9,953$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,689.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers | 52c | 7,921$4,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.08 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 45c | 5,900$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 48c | 5,028$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers | 51c | 4,789$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.81 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 47c | 4,478$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 48c | 4,008$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.59 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Clippers | 51c | 3,234$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.53 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Clippers | 52c | 2,362$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.54 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Raptors | 48c | 2,238$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.75 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Raptors | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Raptors | 48c | 2,074$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Raptors | 48c | 2,042$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers | 50c | 2,002$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Clippers | 52c | 1,569$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.73 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,484$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.93 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Clippers | 53c | 1,277$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.36 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors | 45c | 1,159$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.13 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Clippers | 52c | 1,156$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.68 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Clippers | 52c | 1,096$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.15 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Clippers | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Clippers | 51c | 968$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.32 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Clippers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Raptors | 48c | 867.14$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.21 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Clippers | 51c | 808.38$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.11 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Raptors | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Raptors | 50c | 627.15$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.58 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Clippers | 52c | 568.88$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.36 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 46c | 563.64$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.26 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Raptors | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…bdf7backed Raptors | 49c | 487.96$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors | 48c | 468.75$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Raptors | 45c | 462.8$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.26 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Raptors | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Clippers | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Raptors | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Clippers | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…4d74backed Raptors | 48c | 381.25$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Clippers | 52c | 366.35$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.35 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 48c | 359.75$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.15 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Raptors | 48c | 332.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Clippers | 52c | 325.55$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Clippers | 52c | 315.79$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Clippers | 52c | 313.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.59 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Clippers | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Clippers | 52c | 256$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Raptors | 41c | 233.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Clippers | 51c | 233.07$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Clippers | 50c | 227.15$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Raptors | 47c | 223.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Clippers | 53c | 211.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Clippers | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Clippers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Clippers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Clippers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…7cbfbacked Clippers | 51c | 199.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 36cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…ffc4backed Clippers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Clippers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Clippers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Clippers | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Clippers | 53c | 176.21$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Clippers | 51c | 172.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Clippers | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Raptors | 48c | 159.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Raptors | 48c | 156.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Clippers | 64c | 150.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Clippers | 52c | 149.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Raptors | 43c | 147.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Clippers | 52c | 146.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Clippers | 52c | 143.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…cafdbacked Raptors | 30c | 121.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Raptors | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Clippers | 51c | 109.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Clippers | 52c | 106.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Clippers | 52c | 100.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Raptors | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Clippers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Raptors | 45c | 97.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…855fbacked Clippers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Clippers | 52c | 96.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Raptors | 45c | 92.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Clippers | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Raptors | 46c | 92.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Clippers | 52c | 89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Raptors | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Raptors | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Clippers | 53c | 81.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Clippers | 52c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Clippers | 52c | 73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Raptors | 47c | 68.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Clippers | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1641backed Raptors | 49c | 65.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Raptors | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Raptors | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. ClippersClippers won
- Raptors vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Raptors vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.